Latest National Weather Service guidance for Central Park, New York City's official observing site, projects a high temperature of 64-65°F today, closely matching the trader consensus with 62% implied probability on that outcome, followed by 66-67°F at 20%. This positioning stems from a cold front moderating a recent warm spell—yesterday's observed high reached 81°F—introducing cooler mid-level air, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that cap daytime heating. Ensemble forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated overnight, show tight consensus around 64°F peak in early afternoon, with historical April climatology (normal high 63°F) providing baseline support amid typical spring variability. Real-time observations and hourly updates this afternoon could refine the peak amid lingering uncertainty from boundary layer mixing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in NYC am 18. April?
Höchste Temperatur in NYC am 18. April?
64-65°F 58%
66-67°F 17%
62-63°F 11%
68-69°F 5.3%
$124,008 Vol.
$124,008 Vol.
18. Apr. 2026
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
58%
66-67°F
17%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
3%
72°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 58%
66-67°F 17%
62-63°F 11%
68-69°F 5.3%
$124,008 Vol.
$124,008 Vol.
18. Apr. 2026
54-55°F
$13,810 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$22,912 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$14,176 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$10,784 Vol.
5%
62-63°F
$8,611 Vol.
11%
64-65°F
$7,403 Vol.
58%
66-67°F
$5,551 Vol.
17%
68-69°F
$9,318 Vol.
5%
70-71°F
$10,101 Vol.
3%
72°F or higher
$10,765 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for Central Park, New York City's official observing site, projects a high temperature of 64-65°F today, closely matching the trader consensus with 62% implied probability on that outcome, followed by 66-67°F at 20%. This positioning stems from a cold front moderating a recent warm spell—yesterday's observed high reached 81°F—introducing cooler mid-level air, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that cap daytime heating. Ensemble forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated overnight, show tight consensus around 64°F peak in early afternoon, with historical April climatology (normal high 63°F) providing baseline support amid typical spring variability. Real-time observations and hourly updates this afternoon could refine the peak amid lingering uncertainty from boundary layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$124,008Enddatum
18. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for Central Park, New York City's official observing site, projects a high temperature of 64-65°F today, closely matching the trader consensus with 62% implied probability on that outcome, followed by 66-67°F at 20%. This positioning stems from a cold front moderating a recent warm spell—yesterday's observed high reached 81°F—introducing cooler mid-level air, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that cap daytime heating. Ensemble forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated overnight, show tight consensus around 64°F peak in early afternoon, with historical April climatology (normal high 63°F) providing baseline support amid typical spring variability. Real-time observations and hourly updates this afternoon could refine the peak amid lingering uncertainty from boundary layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$124,008Enddatum
18. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance for Central Park, New York City's official observing site, projects a high temperature of 64-65°F today, closely matching the trader consensus with 62% implied probability on that outcome, followed by 66-67°F at 20%. This positioning stems from a cold front moderating a recent warm spell—yesterday's observed high reached 81°F—introducing cooler mid-level air, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that cap daytime heating. Ensemble forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated overnight, show tight consensus around 64°F peak in early afternoon, with historical April climatology (normal high 63°F) providing baseline support amid typical spring variability. Real-time observations and hourly updates this afternoon could refine the peak amid lingering uncertainty from boundary layer mixing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen