Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a leading 32.5% implied probability to a 33°C high temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, Panama, on April 17, driven by the latest guidance from the Instituto de Meteorología de Panamá (IMPA) and global models including GFS and ECMWF, which project afternoon peaks near 33°C under light northerly winds and partial cloud cover typical of the April dry season. Nearby outcomes like 34°C (18%) and 35°C (17.5%) reflect potential for sunnier intervals boosting solar heating, while 32°C (15.5%) accounts for possible afternoon showers or sea breeze enhancement capping intensity. Climatological highs average 32–34°C, but daily variability from convective activity introduces uncertainty; final resolution hinges on airport observations, with overnight model updates potentially refining trader positions before midday peak heating.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Panama City am 17. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Panama City am 17. April?
33°C 33%
34°C 19%
35°C 18%
32°C 16%
28°C oder darunter
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
16%
33°C
33%
34°C
19%
35°C
18%
36°C
7%
37°C
<1%
38°C oder höher
<1%
33°C 33%
34°C 19%
35°C 18%
32°C 16%
28°C oder darunter
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
16%
33°C
33%
34°C
19%
35°C
18%
36°C
7%
37°C
<1%
38°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a leading 32.5% implied probability to a 33°C high temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, Panama, on April 17, driven by the latest guidance from the Instituto de Meteorología de Panamá (IMPA) and global models including GFS and ECMWF, which project afternoon peaks near 33°C under light northerly winds and partial cloud cover typical of the April dry season. Nearby outcomes like 34°C (18%) and 35°C (17.5%) reflect potential for sunnier intervals boosting solar heating, while 32°C (15.5%) accounts for possible afternoon showers or sea breeze enhancement capping intensity. Climatological highs average 32–34°C, but daily variability from convective activity introduces uncertainty; final resolution hinges on airport observations, with overnight model updates potentially refining trader positions before midday peak heating.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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