Official observations from Météo-France's Paris-Montsouris station, a primary reference for the city's climate records, confirm the highest temperature reached 24.4°C on April 29, 2026, locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 24°C outcome per market binning rules. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts predicting mild highs around 24°C under stable high-pressure systems, building on April 28's 22°C peak amid a month featuring +2.4°C anomalies above April norms of 15–16°C. Model consensus reflected low volatility in spring conditions over northern France. Post-verification revisions to hourly data are the only realistic challenge, though rare after Infoclimat publication.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Paris on April 29?
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$213,342 Vol.
$213,342 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$213,342 Vol.
$213,342 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 27, 2026, 12:54 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Official observations from Météo-France's Paris-Montsouris station, a primary reference for the city's climate records, confirm the highest temperature reached 24.4°C on April 29, 2026, locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 24°C outcome per market binning rules. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts predicting mild highs around 24°C under stable high-pressure systems, building on April 28's 22°C peak amid a month featuring +2.4°C anomalies above April norms of 15–16°C. Model consensus reflected low volatility in spring conditions over northern France. Post-verification revisions to hourly data are the only realistic challenge, though rare after Infoclimat publication.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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