Official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting numerical weather prediction models indicate high pressure over the Paris region on June 14, 2026, with mostly clear skies and light winds sustaining a daytime maximum near 25°C. This setup aligns with observed surface conditions and 850 hPa temperature fields, producing narrow forecast spread and strong model consensus that underpins the market's 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome. Historical June baselines around 22–24°C provide additional context, though urban heat island effects in central Paris can add localized variability. A late-day convective cell or rapid model revision could still shift the recorded high, but current observational data and steering patterns make such changes unlikely before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Paris on June 14?
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$113,638 Vol.
$113,638 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$113,638 Vol.
$113,638 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting numerical weather prediction models indicate high pressure over the Paris region on June 14, 2026, with mostly clear skies and light winds sustaining a daytime maximum near 25°C. This setup aligns with observed surface conditions and 850 hPa temperature fields, producing narrow forecast spread and strong model consensus that underpins the market's 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome. Historical June baselines around 22–24°C provide additional context, though urban heat island effects in central Paris can add localized variability. A late-day convective cell or rapid model revision could still shift the recorded high, but current observational data and steering patterns make such changes unlikely before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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