Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a cooler-than-average maximum for São Paulo on August 10 driven by increased cloud cover, light rain, and a southward surge of cooler polar air typical of Southern Hemisphere winter. Subtropical conditions in the region normally support daytime highs near 23–25 °C, yet current guidance from sources such as timeanddate and The Weather Outlook points to a peak of roughly 17 °C under overcast skies and stable high pressure. This short-term shift has concentrated market-implied odds on the 17–19 °C range, with traders weighting ensemble consistency and the narrow window before resolution. Updated model runs tomorrow morning remain the key variable that could nudge probabilities if clearer or warmer air arrives ahead of the daily peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 10. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 10. August?
18°C 41%
19°C 29%
17°C 22%
20°C 10%
NEU
NEU
10. Aug. 2026
14°C oder darunter
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
22%
18°C
41%
19°C
29%
20°C
10%
21°C
3%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C oder höher
<1%
18°C 41%
19°C 29%
17°C 22%
20°C 10%
NEU
NEU
10. Aug. 2026
14°C oder darunter
$70 Vol.
1%
15°C
$307 Vol.
1%
16°C
$116 Vol.
2%
17°C
$257 Vol.
22%
18°C
$150 Vol.
41%
19°C
$225 Vol.
29%
20°C
$134 Vol.
10%
21°C
$60 Vol.
3%
22°C
$5 Vol.
2%
23°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
24°C oder höher
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a cooler-than-average maximum for São Paulo on August 10 driven by increased cloud cover, light rain, and a southward surge of cooler polar air typical of Southern Hemisphere winter. Subtropical conditions in the region normally support daytime highs near 23–25 °C, yet current guidance from sources such as timeanddate and The Weather Outlook points to a peak of roughly 17 °C under overcast skies and stable high pressure. This short-term shift has concentrated market-implied odds on the 17–19 °C range, with traders weighting ensemble consistency and the narrow window before resolution. Updated model runs tomorrow morning remain the key variable that could nudge probabilities if clearer or warmer air arrives ahead of the daily peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$1,414Enddatum
10. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a cooler-than-average maximum for São Paulo on August 10 driven by increased cloud cover, light rain, and a southward surge of cooler polar air typical of Southern Hemisphere winter. Subtropical conditions in the region normally support daytime highs near 23–25 °C, yet current guidance from sources such as timeanddate and The Weather Outlook points to a peak of roughly 17 °C under overcast skies and stable high pressure. This short-term shift has concentrated market-implied odds on the 17–19 °C range, with traders weighting ensemble consistency and the narrow window before resolution. Updated model runs tomorrow morning remain the key variable that could nudge probabilities if clearer or warmer air arrives ahead of the daily peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,414Enddatum
10. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a cooler-than-average maximum for São Paulo on August 10 driven by increased cloud cover, light rain, and a southward surge of cooler polar air typical of Southern Hemisphere winter. Subtropical conditions in the region normally support daytime highs near 23–25 °C, yet current guidance from sources such as timeanddate and The Weather Outlook points to a peak of roughly 17 °C under overcast skies and stable high pressure. This short-term shift has concentrated market-implied odds on the 17–19 °C range, with traders weighting ensemble consistency and the narrow window before resolution. Updated model runs tomorrow morning remain the key variable that could nudge probabilities if clearer or warmer air arrives ahead of the daily peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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