National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport project a high temperature of 62°F or greater on April 19 under partly sunny skies, driving the market's 98.4% implied probability for this outcome as trader consensus reflects strong model agreement from recent GFS and ECMWF runs. This positioning stems from a developing upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest, promoting subsidence and clear skies after cooler mid-week highs around 56°F on April 17. Ensemble guidance shows low spread in maximum temperatures, with climatological April averages near 58°F providing supportive context. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine stratus lingering into midday or a subtle wind shift introducing cooler boundary-layer air, potentially capping peaks below 62°F—though evening NWS updates are expected to refine this outlook further.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Seattle on April 19?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 19?
62°F or higher 98.6%
58-59°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$19,513 Vol.
$19,513 Vol.
43°F or below
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
<1%
62°F or higher
99%
62°F or higher 98.6%
58-59°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$19,513 Vol.
$19,513 Vol.
43°F or below
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
<1%
62°F or higher
99%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport project a high temperature of 62°F or greater on April 19 under partly sunny skies, driving the market's 98.4% implied probability for this outcome as trader consensus reflects strong model agreement from recent GFS and ECMWF runs. This positioning stems from a developing upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest, promoting subsidence and clear skies after cooler mid-week highs around 56°F on April 17. Ensemble guidance shows low spread in maximum temperatures, with climatological April averages near 58°F providing supportive context. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine stratus lingering into midday or a subtle wind shift introducing cooler boundary-layer air, potentially capping peaks below 62°F—though evening NWS updates are expected to refine this outlook further.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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