Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models project a high of 29–30°C for Shanghai on September 7 under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds and moderate humidity levels around 60–70%. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 30°C (49.5%) and 29°C (33.0%), reflecting typical early-September conditions slightly above the long-term average high of roughly 28°C. No significant warm or cool air intrusions or precipitation events are expected to shift temperatures substantially in the final 48 hours. Traders are monitoring the next China Meteorological Administration updates and ensemble model runs for any revisions to maximum temperature guidance, as small changes in steering patterns or cloud cover could determine whether the peak reaches 31°C or stays at or below 29°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 7. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 7. September?
30°C 50%
29°C 33%
31°C 10%
28°C 6%
NEU
NEU
7. Sep. 2026
24°C oder niedriger
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
33%
30°C
50%
31°C
10%
32°C
3%
33°C
5%
34°C oder höher
1%
30°C 50%
29°C 33%
31°C 10%
28°C 6%
NEU
NEU
7. Sep. 2026
24°C oder niedriger
$100 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
6%
29°C
$48 Vol.
33%
30°C
$250 Vol.
50%
31°C
$0 Vol.
10%
32°C
$0 Vol.
3%
33°C
$0 Vol.
5%
34°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models project a high of 29–30°C for Shanghai on September 7 under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds and moderate humidity levels around 60–70%. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 30°C (49.5%) and 29°C (33.0%), reflecting typical early-September conditions slightly above the long-term average high of roughly 28°C. No significant warm or cool air intrusions or precipitation events are expected to shift temperatures substantially in the final 48 hours. Traders are monitoring the next China Meteorological Administration updates and ensemble model runs for any revisions to maximum temperature guidance, as small changes in steering patterns or cloud cover could determine whether the peak reaches 31°C or stays at or below 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$398Enddatum
7. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models project a high of 29–30°C for Shanghai on September 7 under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds and moderate humidity levels around 60–70%. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 30°C (49.5%) and 29°C (33.0%), reflecting typical early-September conditions slightly above the long-term average high of roughly 28°C. No significant warm or cool air intrusions or precipitation events are expected to shift temperatures substantially in the final 48 hours. Traders are monitoring the next China Meteorological Administration updates and ensemble model runs for any revisions to maximum temperature guidance, as small changes in steering patterns or cloud cover could determine whether the peak reaches 31°C or stays at or below 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$398Enddatum
7. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models project a high of 29–30°C for Shanghai on September 7 under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds and moderate humidity levels around 60–70%. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 30°C (49.5%) and 29°C (33.0%), reflecting typical early-September conditions slightly above the long-term average high of roughly 28°C. No significant warm or cool air intrusions or precipitation events are expected to shift temperatures substantially in the final 48 hours. Traders are monitoring the next China Meteorological Administration updates and ensemble model runs for any revisions to maximum temperature guidance, as small changes in steering patterns or cloud cover could determine whether the peak reaches 31°C or stays at or below 29°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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