Forecast consensus from meteorological agencies positions 33°C as the dominant outcome for Tel Aviv's peak temperature on August 15, reflecting typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions driven by subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderate westerly winds. Official model guidance consistently projects a daytime high near 32–33°C (around 90–91°F), aligning with August climatological averages of 31–32°C and lacking any amplifying factors such as heat advection or reduced sea-breeze cooling. Trader sentiment assigns only modest probability to 34°C, acknowledging minor upside from localized urban heat or slight model warm bias, while lower or higher extremes remain remote given the absence of anomalous atmospheric patterns or recent temperature anomalies in regional observations. Updated model runs through the morning continue to support this narrow range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 15. August?
33°C 89%
34°C 11%
35°C <1%
30°C or below <1%
$23,583 Vol.
$23,583 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
89%
34°C
11%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 89%
34°C 11%
35°C <1%
30°C or below <1%
$23,583 Vol.
$23,583 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
89%
34°C
11%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from meteorological agencies positions 33°C as the dominant outcome for Tel Aviv's peak temperature on August 15, reflecting typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions driven by subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderate westerly winds. Official model guidance consistently projects a daytime high near 32–33°C (around 90–91°F), aligning with August climatological averages of 31–32°C and lacking any amplifying factors such as heat advection or reduced sea-breeze cooling. Trader sentiment assigns only modest probability to 34°C, acknowledging minor upside from localized urban heat or slight model warm bias, while lower or higher extremes remain remote given the absence of anomalous atmospheric patterns or recent temperature anomalies in regional observations. Updated model runs through the morning continue to support this narrow range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen