Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including those referenced by BBC Weather and other agencies, point to a maximum of 30–32°C in Wuhan on June 20 amid thundery showers and variable cloud cover. This consensus underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes, as traders weigh the moderating effects of anticipated precipitation and humidity on daytime heating. Mid-June climatology in the region shows rising highs typically exceeding 30°C, yet model runs highlight sensitivity to the timing of convective activity, which can suppress peak temperatures by limiting solar radiation. Updated guidance closer to the date, particularly from Chinese meteorological services, will likely refine resolution between 31°C and 32°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 20. Juni?
32°C 100.0%
26°C oder darunter <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$51,779 Vol.
$51,779 Vol.
26°C oder darunter
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Ja
33°C
Nein
34°C
Nein
35°C
Nein
36°C oder höher
Nein
32°C 100.0%
26°C oder darunter <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$51,779 Vol.
$51,779 Vol.
26°C oder darunter
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Ja
33°C
Nein
34°C
Nein
35°C
Nein
36°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including those referenced by BBC Weather and other agencies, point to a maximum of 30–32°C in Wuhan on June 20 amid thundery showers and variable cloud cover. This consensus underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes, as traders weigh the moderating effects of anticipated precipitation and humidity on daytime heating. Mid-June climatology in the region shows rising highs typically exceeding 30°C, yet model runs highlight sensitivity to the timing of convective activity, which can suppress peak temperatures by limiting solar radiation. Updated guidance closer to the date, particularly from Chinese meteorological services, will likely refine resolution between 31°C and 32°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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