The tight distribution around 22–25 Republican governors reflects the balanced exposure in 2026, with both parties defending 18 seats amid 36 contests and roughly 18 open seats due to term limits and retirements. Recent primary results and candidate recruitment in states such as California, Florida, Kansas, and South Carolina have produced few decisive shifts so far, while historical base rates for gubernatorial turnover remain modest absent major national swings. Trader consensus incorporates these variables alongside scheduled general-election timelines through November, with potential separation hinging on late-cycle polling in toss-ups, turnout patterns in battlegrounds, and any shifts in open-seat dynamics before ballots close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert22–23 30%
24–25 29%
<22 22%
26–27 19%
$686,045 Vol.
$686,045 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
<22
22%
22–23
30%
24–25
29%
26–27
19%
28–29
4%
30–31
1%
32+
1%
22–23 30%
24–25 29%
<22 22%
26–27 19%
$686,045 Vol.
$686,045 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
<22
$47,936 Vol.
22%
22–23
$8,663 Vol.
30%
24–25
$31,811 Vol.
29%
26–27
$17,342 Vol.
19%
28–29
$557,433 Vol.
4%
30–31
$7,628 Vol.
1%
32+
$15,233 Vol.
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.The tight distribution around 22–25 Republican governors reflects the balanced exposure in 2026, with both parties defending 18 seats amid 36 contests and roughly 18 open seats due to term limits and retirements. Recent primary results and candidate recruitment in states such as California, Florida, Kansas, and South Carolina have produced few decisive shifts so far, while historical base rates for gubernatorial turnover remain modest absent major national swings. Trader consensus incorporates these variables alongside scheduled general-election timelines through November, with potential separation hinging on late-cycle polling in toss-ups, turnout patterns in battlegrounds, and any shifts in open-seat dynamics before ballots close.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Volumen
$686,045Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.The tight distribution around 22–25 Republican governors reflects the balanced exposure in 2026, with both parties defending 18 seats amid 36 contests and roughly 18 open seats due to term limits and retirements. Recent primary results and candidate recruitment in states such as California, Florida, Kansas, and South Carolina have produced few decisive shifts so far, while historical base rates for gubernatorial turnover remain modest absent major national swings. Trader consensus incorporates these variables alongside scheduled general-election timelines through November, with potential separation hinging on late-cycle polling in toss-ups, turnout patterns in battlegrounds, and any shifts in open-seat dynamics before ballots close.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$686,045Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tight distribution around 22–25 Republican governors reflects the balanced exposure in 2026, with both parties defending 18 seats amid 36 contests and roughly 18 open seats due to term limits and retirements. Recent primary results and candidate recruitment in states such as California, Florida, Kansas, and South Carolina have produced few decisive shifts so far, while historical base rates for gubernatorial turnover remain modest absent major national swings. Trader consensus incorporates these variables alongside scheduled general-election timelines through November, with potential separation hinging on late-cycle polling in toss-ups, turnout patterns in battlegrounds, and any shifts in open-seat dynamics before ballots close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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