Republicans currently hold 26 governorships ahead of the 36 races on the 2026 ballot, with Democrats holding 24. Forecasters rate most contests as solid or likely for the incumbent party, leaving a handful of toss-ups and leans—such as open seats in Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, plus re-election bids in Arizona, Nevada, and Pennsylvania—that could shift the total by several seats in either direction. Recent polling showing double-digit leads for Democratic incumbents in Arizona and Pennsylvania has reinforced expectations of modest net Democratic gains, while Republican advantages in solidly red states and term-limited dynamics in several competitive ones have capped downside risk. The market’s clustering around 22–25 reflects this balance of protected strongholds against a small set of swing opportunities, with further separation likely to hinge on primary outcomes, candidate quality in battlegrounds, and any broader national shifts affecting turnout or down-ballot coattails before November.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert22–23 29%
24–25 25%
<22 18%
26–27 17%
$691,032 Vol.
$691,032 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
<22
18%
22–23
29%
24–25
25%
26–27
17%
28–29
3%
30–31
1%
32+
<1%
22–23 29%
24–25 25%
<22 18%
26–27 17%
$691,032 Vol.
$691,032 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
<22
$48,681 Vol.
18%
22–23
$9,325 Vol.
29%
24–25
$33,146 Vol.
25%
26–27
$18,081 Vol.
17%
28–29
$557,858 Vol.
3%
30–31
$8,342 Vol.
1%
32+
$15,599 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships ahead of the 36 races on the 2026 ballot, with Democrats holding 24. Forecasters rate most contests as solid or likely for the incumbent party, leaving a handful of toss-ups and leans—such as open seats in Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, plus re-election bids in Arizona, Nevada, and Pennsylvania—that could shift the total by several seats in either direction. Recent polling showing double-digit leads for Democratic incumbents in Arizona and Pennsylvania has reinforced expectations of modest net Democratic gains, while Republican advantages in solidly red states and term-limited dynamics in several competitive ones have capped downside risk. The market’s clustering around 22–25 reflects this balance of protected strongholds against a small set of swing opportunities, with further separation likely to hinge on primary outcomes, candidate quality in battlegrounds, and any broader national shifts affecting turnout or down-ballot coattails before November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Volumen
$691,032Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships ahead of the 36 races on the 2026 ballot, with Democrats holding 24. Forecasters rate most contests as solid or likely for the incumbent party, leaving a handful of toss-ups and leans—such as open seats in Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, plus re-election bids in Arizona, Nevada, and Pennsylvania—that could shift the total by several seats in either direction. Recent polling showing double-digit leads for Democratic incumbents in Arizona and Pennsylvania has reinforced expectations of modest net Democratic gains, while Republican advantages in solidly red states and term-limited dynamics in several competitive ones have capped downside risk. The market’s clustering around 22–25 reflects this balance of protected strongholds against a small set of swing opportunities, with further separation likely to hinge on primary outcomes, candidate quality in battlegrounds, and any broader national shifts affecting turnout or down-ballot coattails before November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$691,032Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Republicans currently hold 26 governorships ahead of the 36 races on the 2026 ballot, with Democrats holding 24. Forecasters rate most contests as solid or likely for the incumbent party, leaving a handful of toss-ups and leans—such as open seats in Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, plus re-election bids in Arizona, Nevada, and Pennsylvania—that could shift the total by several seats in either direction. Recent polling showing double-digit leads for Democratic incumbents in Arizona and Pennsylvania has reinforced expectations of modest net Democratic gains, while Republican advantages in solidly red states and term-limited dynamics in several competitive ones have capped downside risk. The market’s clustering around 22–25 reflects this balance of protected strongholds against a small set of swing opportunities, with further separation likely to hinge on primary outcomes, candidate quality in battlegrounds, and any broader national shifts affecting turnout or down-ballot coattails before November.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Wird die Demokratische Partei nach den Zwischenwahlen 2026 mehr Gouverneursposten halten?
52%
Ja
Werden die amtierenden republikanischen Senatoren bei genau drei Nominierungswahlen im Zyklus 2026 nicht gewinnen?
96%
Ja
Werden amtierende Republikaner im Repräsentantenhaus in der Wahlrunde 2026 in vier bis sechs Vorwahlen nicht gewinnen?
94%
Ja
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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