Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of the November 2026 elections, with 18 seats from each party on the ballot across 36 states. Eighteen of those races feature open seats due to term limits or retirements, which introduces volatility through new candidate matchups and primary dynamics. Republicans defend two offices in states won by Kamala Harris in 2024, while Democrats defend five in states won by Donald Trump, creating offsetting risks in competitive environments such as Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Trader consensus clustering around 22–25 seats reflects this balanced exposure plus limited recent polling shifts or national momentum that would clearly favor net gains or losses. Further separation could emerge from late-cycle polling trends, primary results in open races, or broader turnout patterns tied to concurrent Senate and House contests.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert22–23 32%
24–25 29%
26–27 20%
<22 18%
$684,025 Vol.
$684,025 Vol.
<22
18%
22–23
32%
24–25
29%
26–27
20%
28–29
4%
30–31
1%
32+
<1%
22–23 32%
24–25 29%
26–27 20%
<22 18%
$684,025 Vol.
$684,025 Vol.
<22
18%
22–23
32%
24–25
29%
26–27
20%
28–29
4%
30–31
1%
32+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of the November 2026 elections, with 18 seats from each party on the ballot across 36 states. Eighteen of those races feature open seats due to term limits or retirements, which introduces volatility through new candidate matchups and primary dynamics. Republicans defend two offices in states won by Kamala Harris in 2024, while Democrats defend five in states won by Donald Trump, creating offsetting risks in competitive environments such as Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Trader consensus clustering around 22–25 seats reflects this balanced exposure plus limited recent polling shifts or national momentum that would clearly favor net gains or losses. Further separation could emerge from late-cycle polling trends, primary results in open races, or broader turnout patterns tied to concurrent Senate and House contests.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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