Currently 26 Republican governors hold office ahead of the November 2026 elections, with 18 Republican and 18 Democratic seats on the ballot across 36 states. The market’s tight clustering around 22–25 seats reflects balanced exposure on both sides, including Republican defenses in New Hampshire and Vermont alongside Democratic defenses in five states carried by President Trump in 2024. Primary outcomes, candidate recruitment for open seats, and early polling in competitive contests such as Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin remain the main variables that could produce net gains or losses. High historical incumbent re-election rates and limited national coattails so far have kept the range narrow, though shifts in turnout patterns or late-cycle developments in battleground states could widen the distribution before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert22–23 31%
24–25 29%
26–27 20%
<22 17%
$684,025 Vol.
$684,025 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
<22
17%
22–23
31%
24–25
29%
26–27
20%
28–29
4%
30–31
1%
32+
<1%
22–23 31%
24–25 29%
26–27 20%
<22 17%
$684,025 Vol.
$684,025 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
<22
$47,132 Vol.
17%
22–23
$8,605 Vol.
31%
24–25
$31,801 Vol.
29%
26–27
$17,031 Vol.
20%
28–29
$557,433 Vol.
4%
30–31
$7,584 Vol.
1%
32+
$14,438 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Currently 26 Republican governors hold office ahead of the November 2026 elections, with 18 Republican and 18 Democratic seats on the ballot across 36 states. The market’s tight clustering around 22–25 seats reflects balanced exposure on both sides, including Republican defenses in New Hampshire and Vermont alongside Democratic defenses in five states carried by President Trump in 2024. Primary outcomes, candidate recruitment for open seats, and early polling in competitive contests such as Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin remain the main variables that could produce net gains or losses. High historical incumbent re-election rates and limited national coattails so far have kept the range narrow, though shifts in turnout patterns or late-cycle developments in battleground states could widen the distribution before Election Day.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Volumen
$684,025Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Currently 26 Republican governors hold office ahead of the November 2026 elections, with 18 Republican and 18 Democratic seats on the ballot across 36 states. The market’s tight clustering around 22–25 seats reflects balanced exposure on both sides, including Republican defenses in New Hampshire and Vermont alongside Democratic defenses in five states carried by President Trump in 2024. Primary outcomes, candidate recruitment for open seats, and early polling in competitive contests such as Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin remain the main variables that could produce net gains or losses. High historical incumbent re-election rates and limited national coattails so far have kept the range narrow, though shifts in turnout patterns or late-cycle developments in battleground states could widen the distribution before Election Day.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$684,025Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Currently 26 Republican governors hold office ahead of the November 2026 elections, with 18 Republican and 18 Democratic seats on the ballot across 36 states. The market’s tight clustering around 22–25 seats reflects balanced exposure on both sides, including Republican defenses in New Hampshire and Vermont alongside Democratic defenses in five states carried by President Trump in 2024. Primary outcomes, candidate recruitment for open seats, and early polling in competitive contests such as Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin remain the main variables that could produce net gains or losses. High historical incumbent re-election rates and limited national coattails so far have kept the range narrow, though shifts in turnout patterns or late-cycle developments in battleground states could widen the distribution before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Wird die Republikanische Partei nach den Zwischenwahlen 2026 weniger als 190 Sitze im Repräsentantenhaus halten?
22%
Ja
Werden die Republikaner nach den Zwischenwahlen 2026 47–49 Senatssitze und 193–207 Sitze im Repräsentantenhaus halten?
20%
Ja
Werden amtierende Republikaner im Repräsentantenhaus in der Wahlrunde 2026 in vier bis sechs Vorwahlen nicht gewinnen?
78%
Ja
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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