Illinois’s 9th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the open-seat contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic following longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky’s retirement. Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17 primary, while John Elleson won the Republican primary. These structural advantages, reinforced by the district’s suburban Chicago voter base and historical turnout patterns, underpin traders’ 94.5 percent consensus for a Democratic victory. A national political wave, major candidate scandal, or unusually depressed Democratic participation could narrow the margin, though current evidence indicates such shifts would need to be substantial to alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertIL-09 Wahlsieger
IL-09 Wahlsieger
$21,860 Vol.
$21,860 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
95%
Republikanische Partei
6%
$21,860 Vol.
$21,860 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$15,361 Vol.
95%
Republikanische Partei
$6,499 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois’s 9th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the open-seat contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic following longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky’s retirement. Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17 primary, while John Elleson won the Republican primary. These structural advantages, reinforced by the district’s suburban Chicago voter base and historical turnout patterns, underpin traders’ 94.5 percent consensus for a Democratic victory. A national political wave, major candidate scandal, or unusually depressed Democratic participation could narrow the margin, though current evidence indicates such shifts would need to be substantial to alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$21,860Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois’s 9th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the open-seat contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic following longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky’s retirement. Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17 primary, while John Elleson won the Republican primary. These structural advantages, reinforced by the district’s suburban Chicago voter base and historical turnout patterns, underpin traders’ 94.5 percent consensus for a Democratic victory. A national political wave, major candidate scandal, or unusually depressed Democratic participation could narrow the margin, though current evidence indicates such shifts would need to be substantial to alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$21,860Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois’s 9th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the open-seat contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic following longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky’s retirement. Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17 primary, while John Elleson won the Republican primary. These structural advantages, reinforced by the district’s suburban Chicago voter base and historical turnout patterns, underpin traders’ 94.5 percent consensus for a Democratic victory. A national political wave, major candidate scandal, or unusually depressed Democratic participation could narrow the margin, though current evidence indicates such shifts would need to be substantial to alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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