Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers indicate a transition to cooler, more unstable conditions over Ankara by August 28, with daytime highs dropping to 24–27°C and overnight lows likely settling near 14–16°C amid increasing northwest winds and a 40–60% chance of showers. This reflects advection of milder air replacing prior hot, clear patterns that produced lows near 18–19°C. The closely matched market odds around 15–16°C versus higher outcomes stem from typical model spread in minimum temperature forecasts, driven by uncertainty in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing—factors that control nocturnal radiative cooling rates. Updated runs from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Ankara am 28. August?
20°C oder höher 47%
15°C 46%
16°C 46%
17°C 46%
10°C oder darunter
29%
11°C
14%
12°C
43%
13°C
45%
14°C
45%
15°C
46%
16°C
46%
17°C
46%
18°C
45%
19°C
33%
20°C oder höher
47%
20°C oder höher 47%
15°C 46%
16°C 46%
17°C 46%
10°C oder darunter
29%
11°C
14%
12°C
43%
13°C
45%
14°C
45%
15°C
46%
16°C
46%
17°C
46%
18°C
45%
19°C
33%
20°C oder höher
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers indicate a transition to cooler, more unstable conditions over Ankara by August 28, with daytime highs dropping to 24–27°C and overnight lows likely settling near 14–16°C amid increasing northwest winds and a 40–60% chance of showers. This reflects advection of milder air replacing prior hot, clear patterns that produced lows near 18–19°C. The closely matched market odds around 15–16°C versus higher outcomes stem from typical model spread in minimum temperature forecasts, driven by uncertainty in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing—factors that control nocturnal radiative cooling rates. Updated runs from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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