Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C overnight into June 18, driven by mild southerly flow, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and above-average sea-surface temperatures around the UK. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 17°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability, while 16°C and 18°C options capture residual model spread from boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects. Historical mid-June climatology shows typical lows near 12–13°C, but persistent high pressure and lack of northerly incursions have elevated the current baseline. Updated observations and final Met Office verification data expected later today will resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 18. Juni?
Niedrigste Temperatur in London am 18. Juni?
17°C 100.0%
12°C oder weniger <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$41,887 Vol.
$41,887 Vol.
18. Juni 2026
12°C oder weniger
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Ja
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C oder höher
Nein
17°C 100.0%
12°C oder weniger <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$41,887 Vol.
$41,887 Vol.
18. Juni 2026
12°C oder weniger
$500 Vol.
Nein
13°C
$714 Vol.
Nein
14°C
$685 Vol.
Nein
15°C
$1,967 Vol.
Nein
16°C
$2,450 Vol.
Nein
17°C
$5,751 Vol.
Ja
18°C
$14,507 Vol.
Nein
19°C
$853 Vol.
Nein
20°C
$13,750 Vol.
Nein
21°C
$510 Vol.
Nein
22°C oder höher
$200 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C overnight into June 18, driven by mild southerly flow, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and above-average sea-surface temperatures around the UK. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 17°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability, while 16°C and 18°C options capture residual model spread from boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects. Historical mid-June climatology shows typical lows near 12–13°C, but persistent high pressure and lack of northerly incursions have elevated the current baseline. Updated observations and final Met Office verification data expected later today will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$41,887Enddatum
18. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C overnight into June 18, driven by mild southerly flow, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and above-average sea-surface temperatures around the UK. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 17°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability, while 16°C and 18°C options capture residual model spread from boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects. Historical mid-June climatology shows typical lows near 12–13°C, but persistent high pressure and lack of northerly incursions have elevated the current baseline. Updated observations and final Met Office verification data expected later today will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$41,887Enddatum
18. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C overnight into June 18, driven by mild southerly flow, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and above-average sea-surface temperatures around the UK. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 17°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability, while 16°C and 18°C options capture residual model spread from boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects. Historical mid-June climatology shows typical lows near 12–13°C, but persistent high pressure and lack of northerly incursions have elevated the current baseline. Updated observations and final Met Office verification data expected later today will resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen