Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid will experience clear to mostly clear skies overnight into August 28, 2026, following a cooler, cloudier period on the 27th with southwest winds and possible light precipitation. This setup promotes strong radiative cooling under dry air and light winds, with projected overnight lows centering near 12–14 °C—below the long-term average of roughly 18 °C but above the 1956 record low of 12.3 °C. Trader sentiment clusters around the 9–12 °C outcomes because small differences in dew-point depression, wind speed, or the precise timing of clearing can shift the minimum by 2–3 °C. Upcoming evening model runs from ECMWF and GFS will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Madrid am 28. August?
9°C or below 58%
12°C 52%
11°C 46%
15°C 38%
9°C or below
58%
10°C
38%
11°C
46%
12°C
52%
13°C
36%
14°C
35%
15°C
38%
16°C
35%
17°C
24%
18°C
19%
19°C or higher
9%
9°C or below 58%
12°C 52%
11°C 46%
15°C 38%
9°C or below
58%
10°C
38%
11°C
46%
12°C
52%
13°C
36%
14°C
35%
15°C
38%
16°C
35%
17°C
24%
18°C
19%
19°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid will experience clear to mostly clear skies overnight into August 28, 2026, following a cooler, cloudier period on the 27th with southwest winds and possible light precipitation. This setup promotes strong radiative cooling under dry air and light winds, with projected overnight lows centering near 12–14 °C—below the long-term average of roughly 18 °C but above the 1956 record low of 12.3 °C. Trader sentiment clusters around the 9–12 °C outcomes because small differences in dew-point depression, wind speed, or the precise timing of clearing can shift the minimum by 2–3 °C. Upcoming evening model runs from ECMWF and GFS will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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