Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show notable spread in overnight radiative cooling under persistent high pressure and clear skies over central Spain, with minimum temperatures for Madrid on August 31 centered around 17–19 °C amid a gradual warming trend after late-month cooling. Recent observations indicate stronger nocturnal drops when winds remain light, while urban heat island effects and slight increases in low-level moisture could moderate the low; traders weigh these variables against historical late-August baselines near 18 °C. Updated high-resolution runs from ECMWF and AEMET expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Madrid am 31. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Madrid am 31. August?
18°C 49%
19°C 46%
20°C 46%
26°C or higher 34%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
16°C or below
22%
17°C
23%
18°C
49%
19°C
46%
20°C
46%
21°C
2%
22°C
18%
23°C
18%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
34%
18°C 49%
19°C 46%
20°C 46%
26°C or higher 34%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
23%
18°C
$0 Vol.
49%
19°C
$0 Vol.
46%
20°C
$0 Vol.
46%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C
$0 Vol.
18%
23°C
$0 Vol.
18%
24°C
$0 Vol.
6%
25°C
$0 Vol.
6%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show notable spread in overnight radiative cooling under persistent high pressure and clear skies over central Spain, with minimum temperatures for Madrid on August 31 centered around 17–19 °C amid a gradual warming trend after late-month cooling. Recent observations indicate stronger nocturnal drops when winds remain light, while urban heat island effects and slight increases in low-level moisture could moderate the low; traders weigh these variables against historical late-August baselines near 18 °C. Updated high-resolution runs from ECMWF and AEMET expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show notable spread in overnight radiative cooling under persistent high pressure and clear skies over central Spain, with minimum temperatures for Madrid on August 31 centered around 17–19 °C amid a gradual warming trend after late-month cooling. Recent observations indicate stronger nocturnal drops when winds remain light, while urban heat island effects and slight increases in low-level moisture could moderate the low; traders weigh these variables against historical late-August baselines near 18 °C. Updated high-resolution runs from ECMWF and AEMET expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show notable spread in overnight radiative cooling under persistent high pressure and clear skies over central Spain, with minimum temperatures for Madrid on August 31 centered around 17–19 °C amid a gradual warming trend after late-month cooling. Recent observations indicate stronger nocturnal drops when winds remain light, while urban heat island effects and slight increases in low-level moisture could moderate the low; traders weigh these variables against historical late-August baselines near 18 °C. Updated high-resolution runs from ECMWF and AEMET expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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