Traders have clustered bets on 74–77°F lows for August 10 in NYC because current model consensus from NWS and others points to a warm, humid air mass with high dew points and light southwest winds limiting overnight radiative cooling. Recent days have seen minimums holding in the mid-70s amid above-average August temperatures, with partly cloudy skies and minimal frontal passage expected to maintain similar conditions through the night of the 9th. Key variables creating the tight spread between 74–75°F and 76–77°F include small differences in forecast cloud cover, wind mixing, and urban heat island retention, while probabilities drop sharply below 72°F or above 79°F absent a stronger cool-air intrusion. Updated NWS model runs and local observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 10. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 10. August?
76-77°F 26%
74-75°F 24%
78-79°F 19%
72-73°F 16%
NEU
NEU
10. Aug. 2026
63°F oder darunter
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
6%
82°F oder höher
2%
76-77°F 26%
74-75°F 24%
78-79°F 19%
72-73°F 16%
NEU
NEU
10. Aug. 2026
63°F oder darunter
$31 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$31 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$1 Vol.
2%
68-69°F
$32 Vol.
5%
70-71°F
$52 Vol.
10%
72-73°F
$44 Vol.
16%
74-75°F
$133 Vol.
24%
76-77°F
$32 Vol.
26%
78-79°F
$54 Vol.
19%
80-81°F
$40 Vol.
6%
82°F oder höher
$62 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have clustered bets on 74–77°F lows for August 10 in NYC because current model consensus from NWS and others points to a warm, humid air mass with high dew points and light southwest winds limiting overnight radiative cooling. Recent days have seen minimums holding in the mid-70s amid above-average August temperatures, with partly cloudy skies and minimal frontal passage expected to maintain similar conditions through the night of the 9th. Key variables creating the tight spread between 74–75°F and 76–77°F include small differences in forecast cloud cover, wind mixing, and urban heat island retention, while probabilities drop sharply below 72°F or above 79°F absent a stronger cool-air intrusion. Updated NWS model runs and local observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 8, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volumen
$512Enddatum
10. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 9:30 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have clustered bets on 74–77°F lows for August 10 in NYC because current model consensus from NWS and others points to a warm, humid air mass with high dew points and light southwest winds limiting overnight radiative cooling. Recent days have seen minimums holding in the mid-70s amid above-average August temperatures, with partly cloudy skies and minimal frontal passage expected to maintain similar conditions through the night of the 9th. Key variables creating the tight spread between 74–75°F and 76–77°F include small differences in forecast cloud cover, wind mixing, and urban heat island retention, while probabilities drop sharply below 72°F or above 79°F absent a stronger cool-air intrusion. Updated NWS model runs and local observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$512Enddatum
10. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 9:30 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have clustered bets on 74–77°F lows for August 10 in NYC because current model consensus from NWS and others points to a warm, humid air mass with high dew points and light southwest winds limiting overnight radiative cooling. Recent days have seen minimums holding in the mid-70s amid above-average August temperatures, with partly cloudy skies and minimal frontal passage expected to maintain similar conditions through the night of the 9th. Key variables creating the tight spread between 74–75°F and 76–77°F include small differences in forecast cloud cover, wind mixing, and urban heat island retention, while probabilities drop sharply below 72°F or above 79°F absent a stronger cool-air intrusion. Updated NWS model runs and local observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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