Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a daily minimum of 24°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 16, amid persistent rain and 60-70% precipitation probability that favors this outcome in market pricing. Cloud cover and rainfall limit nighttime radiative cooling while maintaining elevated humidity and dew points, compressing the diurnal range around 23-25°C as reflected in the leading implied probabilities. Recent short-range model consensus shows light winds and ongoing thundershowers moderating temperatures below typical August averages near 26°C, with limited scope for deeper cooling unless clearer skies develop unexpectedly. Traders assign highest weight to 24°C and 23°C given these stable atmospheric conditions ahead of the overnight period.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 16. August?
24°C 45%
23°C 33%
25°C 16%
22°C 6%
19°C oder darunter
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
33%
24°C
45%
25°C
16%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 45%
23°C 33%
25°C 16%
22°C 6%
19°C oder darunter
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
33%
24°C
45%
25°C
16%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a daily minimum of 24°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 16, amid persistent rain and 60-70% precipitation probability that favors this outcome in market pricing. Cloud cover and rainfall limit nighttime radiative cooling while maintaining elevated humidity and dew points, compressing the diurnal range around 23-25°C as reflected in the leading implied probabilities. Recent short-range model consensus shows light winds and ongoing thundershowers moderating temperatures below typical August averages near 26°C, with limited scope for deeper cooling unless clearer skies develop unexpectedly. Traders assign highest weight to 24°C and 23°C given these stable atmospheric conditions ahead of the overnight period.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen