Persistent cloud cover, showers, and regional moisture from subtropical summer patterns have kept overnight radiative cooling modest in Shenzhen, aligning multiple forecast models around a 25°C minimum for August 21. Official guidance and ensemble runs consistently project lows of 25–26°C under overcast skies with light winds, matching historical August baselines of roughly 26°C while accounting for today’s elevated humidity and precipitation that suppress further drops. Trader consensus at 95% on 25°C reflects this tight model agreement and skin-in-the-game assessment of limited downside risk. A clear-sky break allowing stronger cooling or an unforecast station-specific reading below 25°C could still shift the outcome, though such deviations appear unlikely given current conditions and the proximity to resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 21. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 21. August?
25°C 95%
24°C 5%
26°C 2.2%
23°C or below <1%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
95%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
25°C 95%
24°C 5%
26°C 2.2%
23°C or below <1%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
$164 Vol.
1%
24°C
$5 Vol.
5%
25°C
$167 Vol.
95%
26°C
$78 Vol.
2%
27°C
$190 Vol.
1%
28°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, showers, and regional moisture from subtropical summer patterns have kept overnight radiative cooling modest in Shenzhen, aligning multiple forecast models around a 25°C minimum for August 21. Official guidance and ensemble runs consistently project lows of 25–26°C under overcast skies with light winds, matching historical August baselines of roughly 26°C while accounting for today’s elevated humidity and precipitation that suppress further drops. Trader consensus at 95% on 25°C reflects this tight model agreement and skin-in-the-game assessment of limited downside risk. A clear-sky break allowing stronger cooling or an unforecast station-specific reading below 25°C could still shift the outcome, though such deviations appear unlikely given current conditions and the proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volumen
$1,159Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, showers, and regional moisture from subtropical summer patterns have kept overnight radiative cooling modest in Shenzhen, aligning multiple forecast models around a 25°C minimum for August 21. Official guidance and ensemble runs consistently project lows of 25–26°C under overcast skies with light winds, matching historical August baselines of roughly 26°C while accounting for today’s elevated humidity and precipitation that suppress further drops. Trader consensus at 95% on 25°C reflects this tight model agreement and skin-in-the-game assessment of limited downside risk. A clear-sky break allowing stronger cooling or an unforecast station-specific reading below 25°C could still shift the outcome, though such deviations appear unlikely given current conditions and the proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,159Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, showers, and regional moisture from subtropical summer patterns have kept overnight radiative cooling modest in Shenzhen, aligning multiple forecast models around a 25°C minimum for August 21. Official guidance and ensemble runs consistently project lows of 25–26°C under overcast skies with light winds, matching historical August baselines of roughly 26°C while accounting for today’s elevated humidity and precipitation that suppress further drops. Trader consensus at 95% on 25°C reflects this tight model agreement and skin-in-the-game assessment of limited downside risk. A clear-sky break allowing stronger cooling or an unforecast station-specific reading below 25°C could still shift the outcome, though such deviations appear unlikely given current conditions and the proximity to resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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