Persistent subtropical high pressure and light westerly Mediterranean flow are expected to limit nocturnal cooling in Tel Aviv, supporting a minimum temperature near the seasonal average of 24–26°C on August 25. Recent model consensus from regional forecasts aligns with this range, consistent with late-summer subsidence patterns that have kept overnight lows around 25°C in prior days. With leading market outcomes split evenly between 18°C or below and 28°C or higher at 49.5% implied probability, traders appear focused on potential forecast shifts from any weak frontal passage or wind changes that could alter radiative cooling rates, though no major deviations are currently indicated ahead of the resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 25. August?
18°C or below 97%
28°C or higher 95%
19°C 50%
23°C 27%
18°C or below
97%
19°C
50%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
5%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
95%
18°C or below 97%
28°C or higher 95%
19°C 50%
23°C 27%
18°C or below
97%
19°C
50%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
5%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
95%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical high pressure and light westerly Mediterranean flow are expected to limit nocturnal cooling in Tel Aviv, supporting a minimum temperature near the seasonal average of 24–26°C on August 25. Recent model consensus from regional forecasts aligns with this range, consistent with late-summer subsidence patterns that have kept overnight lows around 25°C in prior days. With leading market outcomes split evenly between 18°C or below and 28°C or higher at 49.5% implied probability, traders appear focused on potential forecast shifts from any weak frontal passage or wind changes that could alter radiative cooling rates, though no major deviations are currently indicated ahead of the resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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