Recent ensemble forecasts for Warsaw show overnight lows centered around 13–15°C on August 22, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing variable cloud cover and light winds that modulate radiational cooling. Clear periods enable greater surface heat loss after sunset, while scattered showers or increased humidity from Atlantic flow can raise minimums by limiting temperature drops. This uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions and model spread across ECMWF and GFS runs explains the tightly bunched market odds between 12°C and 15°C. Historical August climatology supports similar variability, with typical lows near 12–14°C, though updated model guidance tonight will likely refine the precise threshold before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 22. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 22. August?
14°C 31%
13°C 29%
12°C 28%
10°C or below 26%
NEU
NEU
22. Aug. 2026
10°C or below
26%
11°C
9%
12°C
28%
13°C
29%
14°C
31%
15°C
29%
16°C
9%
17°C
7%
18°C
6%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
1%
14°C 31%
13°C 29%
12°C 28%
10°C or below 26%
NEU
NEU
22. Aug. 2026
10°C or below
$5 Vol.
26%
11°C
$8 Vol.
9%
12°C
$0 Vol.
28%
13°C
$1 Vol.
29%
14°C
$0 Vol.
31%
15°C
$28 Vol.
29%
16°C
$0 Vol.
9%
17°C
$0 Vol.
7%
18°C
$5 Vol.
6%
19°C
$16 Vol.
2%
20°C or higher
$30 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Warsaw show overnight lows centered around 13–15°C on August 22, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing variable cloud cover and light winds that modulate radiational cooling. Clear periods enable greater surface heat loss after sunset, while scattered showers or increased humidity from Atlantic flow can raise minimums by limiting temperature drops. This uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions and model spread across ECMWF and GFS runs explains the tightly bunched market odds between 12°C and 15°C. Historical August climatology supports similar variability, with typical lows near 12–14°C, though updated model guidance tonight will likely refine the precise threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volumen
$93Enddatum
22. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Warsaw show overnight lows centered around 13–15°C on August 22, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing variable cloud cover and light winds that modulate radiational cooling. Clear periods enable greater surface heat loss after sunset, while scattered showers or increased humidity from Atlantic flow can raise minimums by limiting temperature drops. This uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions and model spread across ECMWF and GFS runs explains the tightly bunched market odds between 12°C and 15°C. Historical August climatology supports similar variability, with typical lows near 12–14°C, though updated model guidance tonight will likely refine the precise threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$93Enddatum
22. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts for Warsaw show overnight lows centered around 13–15°C on August 22, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing variable cloud cover and light winds that modulate radiational cooling. Clear periods enable greater surface heat loss after sunset, while scattered showers or increased humidity from Atlantic flow can raise minimums by limiting temperature drops. This uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions and model spread across ECMWF and GFS runs explains the tightly bunched market odds between 12°C and 15°C. Historical August climatology supports similar variability, with typical lows near 12–14°C, though updated model guidance tonight will likely refine the precise threshold before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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