Current ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and ICON project a minimum temperature in Warsaw near 10–11°C on September 26, driven by extensive low-level cloud cover that suppresses nocturnal radiative cooling and light southwesterly flow maintaining mild advection. Persistent high pressure and dew points near 10°C further limit sharp drops, making 5°C or below improbable without an unexpected clear-sky surge in longwave radiation loss. Conversely, 15°C or higher would require rapid daytime mixing or a stronger warm front, which current guidance does not support. Model spread in boundary-layer humidity and wind speed creates the tight market balance around 9–12°C outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 26. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 26. September?
15°C oder höher 98%
9°C 40%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
NEU
NEU
26. Sep. 2026
5°C oder niedriger
<1%
6°C
38%
7°C
38%
8°C
38%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C oder höher
98%
15°C oder höher 98%
9°C 40%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
NEU
NEU
26. Sep. 2026
5°C oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$0 Vol.
38%
7°C
$0 Vol.
38%
8°C
$0 Vol.
38%
9°C
$0 Vol.
40%
10°C
$0 Vol.
40%
11°C
$0 Vol.
40%
12°C
$0 Vol.
39%
13°C
$0 Vol.
39%
14°C
$0 Vol.
39%
15°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and ICON project a minimum temperature in Warsaw near 10–11°C on September 26, driven by extensive low-level cloud cover that suppresses nocturnal radiative cooling and light southwesterly flow maintaining mild advection. Persistent high pressure and dew points near 10°C further limit sharp drops, making 5°C or below improbable without an unexpected clear-sky surge in longwave radiation loss. Conversely, 15°C or higher would require rapid daytime mixing or a stronger warm front, which current guidance does not support. Model spread in boundary-layer humidity and wind speed creates the tight market balance around 9–12°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
26. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and ICON project a minimum temperature in Warsaw near 10–11°C on September 26, driven by extensive low-level cloud cover that suppresses nocturnal radiative cooling and light southwesterly flow maintaining mild advection. Persistent high pressure and dew points near 10°C further limit sharp drops, making 5°C or below improbable without an unexpected clear-sky surge in longwave radiation loss. Conversely, 15°C or higher would require rapid daytime mixing or a stronger warm front, which current guidance does not support. Model spread in boundary-layer humidity and wind speed creates the tight market balance around 9–12°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
26. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Current ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and ICON project a minimum temperature in Warsaw near 10–11°C on September 26, driven by extensive low-level cloud cover that suppresses nocturnal radiative cooling and light southwesterly flow maintaining mild advection. Persistent high pressure and dew points near 10°C further limit sharp drops, making 5°C or below improbable without an unexpected clear-sky surge in longwave radiation loss. Conversely, 15°C or higher would require rapid daytime mixing or a stronger warm front, which current guidance does not support. Model spread in boundary-layer humidity and wind speed creates the tight market balance around 9–12°C outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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