Recent high-pressure ridging over the Tasman Sea and a shift to northerly flow have brought clearer skies and milder conditions to Wellington, with official MetService and model guidance (ACCESS-G, UKMO) pointing to an overnight low near 6–8 °C on 24–25 September under light winds and limited cloud cover. Radiational cooling under clear conditions supports the potential for readings in the mid-single digits, while the city’s exposure to mixing northerlies and typical spring climatology (historical September minima around 6–9 °C) keep extremes below 4 °C or above 14 °C less likely. Fresh model runs and MetService updates through 24 September remain the key variables that could shift the narrow market balance between these scenarios.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Wellington am 25. September?
4°C oder darunter 100%
14°C oder höher 98%
7°C 40%
8°C 40%
4°C oder darunter
100%
5°C
39%
6°C
39%
7°C
40%
8°C
40%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C oder höher
98%
4°C oder darunter 100%
14°C oder höher 98%
7°C 40%
8°C 40%
4°C oder darunter
100%
5°C
39%
6°C
39%
7°C
40%
8°C
40%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C oder höher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-pressure ridging over the Tasman Sea and a shift to northerly flow have brought clearer skies and milder conditions to Wellington, with official MetService and model guidance (ACCESS-G, UKMO) pointing to an overnight low near 6–8 °C on 24–25 September under light winds and limited cloud cover. Radiational cooling under clear conditions supports the potential for readings in the mid-single digits, while the city’s exposure to mixing northerlies and typical spring climatology (historical September minima around 6–9 °C) keep extremes below 4 °C or above 14 °C less likely. Fresh model runs and MetService updates through 24 September remain the key variables that could shift the narrow market balance between these scenarios.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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