**Trader sentiment for Wellington's September 23 minimum clusters tightly around 5–8°C because official forecasts and model guidance indicate an overnight low in that narrow band under southerly flow.** Persistent S to SSW winds of 15–25 mph (with gusts higher) promote mixing that limits extreme radiative cooling, while partial cloud cover and a modest dew point around 4–6°C further moderate the drop. Historical September minima in Wellington average near 6–7°C, and current conditions align with a mild spring pattern influenced by La Niña-enhanced westerlies rather than a strong anticyclone. Small differences in forecast timing of any clearing or wind lull explain why 7°C and 8°C each sit at 50% implied probability while 6°C and 5°C remain competitive; traders are effectively pricing the range of plausible outcomes from ensemble guidance rather than a single deterministic value.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Wellington am 23. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Wellington am 23. September?
6°C 98%
5°C 89%
3°C oder niedriger 69%
8°C 50%
NEU
NEU
23. Sep. 2026
3°C oder niedriger
69%
4°C
6%
5°C
89%
6°C
98%
7°C
50%
8°C
50%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C oder höher
<1%
6°C 98%
5°C 89%
3°C oder niedriger 69%
8°C 50%
NEU
NEU
23. Sep. 2026
3°C oder niedriger
$100 Vol.
69%
4°C
$40 Vol.
6%
5°C
$8 Vol.
89%
6°C
$0 Vol.
98%
7°C
$3 Vol.
50%
8°C
$0 Vol.
50%
9°C
$38 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$194 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
13°C oder höher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Wellington's September 23 minimum clusters tightly around 5–8°C because official forecasts and model guidance indicate an overnight low in that narrow band under southerly flow.** Persistent S to SSW winds of 15–25 mph (with gusts higher) promote mixing that limits extreme radiative cooling, while partial cloud cover and a modest dew point around 4–6°C further moderate the drop. Historical September minima in Wellington average near 6–7°C, and current conditions align with a mild spring pattern influenced by La Niña-enhanced westerlies rather than a strong anticyclone. Small differences in forecast timing of any clearing or wind lull explain why 7°C and 8°C each sit at 50% implied probability while 6°C and 5°C remain competitive; traders are effectively pricing the range of plausible outcomes from ensemble guidance rather than a single deterministic value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$813Enddatum
23. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Wellington's September 23 minimum clusters tightly around 5–8°C because official forecasts and model guidance indicate an overnight low in that narrow band under southerly flow.** Persistent S to SSW winds of 15–25 mph (with gusts higher) promote mixing that limits extreme radiative cooling, while partial cloud cover and a modest dew point around 4–6°C further moderate the drop. Historical September minima in Wellington average near 6–7°C, and current conditions align with a mild spring pattern influenced by La Niña-enhanced westerlies rather than a strong anticyclone. Small differences in forecast timing of any clearing or wind lull explain why 7°C and 8°C each sit at 50% implied probability while 6°C and 5°C remain competitive; traders are effectively pricing the range of plausible outcomes from ensemble guidance rather than a single deterministic value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$813Enddatum
23. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Wellington's September 23 minimum clusters tightly around 5–8°C because official forecasts and model guidance indicate an overnight low in that narrow band under southerly flow.** Persistent S to SSW winds of 15–25 mph (with gusts higher) promote mixing that limits extreme radiative cooling, while partial cloud cover and a modest dew point around 4–6°C further moderate the drop. Historical September minima in Wellington average near 6–7°C, and current conditions align with a mild spring pattern influenced by La Niña-enhanced westerlies rather than a strong anticyclone. Small differences in forecast timing of any clearing or wind lull explain why 7°C and 8°C each sit at 50% implied probability while 6°C and 5°C remain competitive; traders are effectively pricing the range of plausible outcomes from ensemble guidance rather than a single deterministic value.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen