Current forecast guidance from regional meteorological models supports a minimum temperature near 26°C in Wuhan on August 21, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions featuring high humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and weak pressure gradients that suppress sharp temperature drops. Historical August averages show overnight lows of 25–27°C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C and 25°C. Recent model updates have maintained this range without signals of stronger cold advection or heavy precipitation that could push readings lower, while the very low probabilities assigned to 23°C or below reflect the unlikelihood of atypical cooling in the current stable pattern. Traders appear to weigh these climatological baselines and short-term stability heavily ahead of final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Wuhan am 21. August?
24°C 59%
25°C 32%
23°C 18%
22°C oder darunter <1%
22°C oder darunter
1%
23°C
18%
24°C
59%
25°C
32%
26°C
62%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 59%
25°C 32%
23°C 18%
22°C oder darunter <1%
22°C oder darunter
1%
23°C
18%
24°C
59%
25°C
32%
26°C
62%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from regional meteorological models supports a minimum temperature near 26°C in Wuhan on August 21, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions featuring high humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and weak pressure gradients that suppress sharp temperature drops. Historical August averages show overnight lows of 25–27°C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C and 25°C. Recent model updates have maintained this range without signals of stronger cold advection or heavy precipitation that could push readings lower, while the very low probabilities assigned to 23°C or below reflect the unlikelihood of atypical cooling in the current stable pattern. Traders appear to weigh these climatological baselines and short-term stability heavily ahead of final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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