Zack Wheeler leads NL Comeback Player of the Year trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability after returning from thoracic outlet syndrome surgery performed last fall. The Phillies right-hander posted a 2.03 ERA through his first dozen starts with elite strikeout totals and command before settling near 3.23 ERA with 163 strikeouts across 24 starts. Analysts highlight the severity of his prior injury and vintage production as distinguishing factors over other candidates. Sandy Alcantara sits at 7.0% on the strength of his post-Tommy John workload exceeding 200 innings, though recent starts have elevated his ERA to 3.78. Lower-probability names such as Tanner Scott, Michael Harris II, and O'Neil Cruz reflect more modest rebounds or limited sample impact relative to Wheeler's established ace-level resurgence.