New Zealand's November 2026 general election under MMP has seen National and Labour consistently lead party-vote polls near 30 percent each, leaving smaller parties to contest third place. Recent surveys through mid-August show New Zealand First frequently polling at 9-13 percent, ahead of or level with the Greens at 8-13 percent, while ACT, Opportunity, and Te Pāti Māori trail further back. Traders have priced New Zealand First as the clear favorite for third, reflecting its sustained momentum in multiple series and Winston Peters' established voter base. The Greens remain a credible alternative but have shown more volatility. Minor-party fragmentation and undecided voters near 10-14 percent add uncertainty, though the current polling trajectory favors New Zealand First finishing ahead of the rest of the minor parties.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNew Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand First Party 54%
Green Party 37%
ACT New Zealand 1.6%
National Party 1.2%
$13,600 Vol.
$13,600 Vol.
6. Nov. 2026
New Zealand First Party
54%
Green Party
37%
ACT New Zealand
2%
National Party
1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party
<1%
New Zealand First Party 54%
Green Party 37%
ACT New Zealand 1.6%
National Party 1.2%
$13,600 Vol.
$13,600 Vol.
6. Nov. 2026
New Zealand First Party
$5,126 Vol.
54%
Green Party
$5,518 Vol.
37%
ACT New Zealand
$702 Vol.
2%
National Party
$415 Vol.
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$774 Vol.
<1%
Labour Party
$1,065 Vol.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).New Zealand's November 2026 general election under MMP has seen National and Labour consistently lead party-vote polls near 30 percent each, leaving smaller parties to contest third place. Recent surveys through mid-August show New Zealand First frequently polling at 9-13 percent, ahead of or level with the Greens at 8-13 percent, while ACT, Opportunity, and Te Pāti Māori trail further back. Traders have priced New Zealand First as the clear favorite for third, reflecting its sustained momentum in multiple series and Winston Peters' established voter base. The Greens remain a credible alternative but have shown more volatility. Minor-party fragmentation and undecided voters near 10-14 percent add uncertainty, though the current polling trajectory favors New Zealand First finishing ahead of the rest of the minor parties.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Markt eröffnet: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Volumen
$13,600Enddatum
7. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).New Zealand's November 2026 general election under MMP has seen National and Labour consistently lead party-vote polls near 30 percent each, leaving smaller parties to contest third place. Recent surveys through mid-August show New Zealand First frequently polling at 9-13 percent, ahead of or level with the Greens at 8-13 percent, while ACT, Opportunity, and Te Pāti Māori trail further back. Traders have priced New Zealand First as the clear favorite for third, reflecting its sustained momentum in multiple series and Winston Peters' established voter base. The Greens remain a credible alternative but have shown more volatility. Minor-party fragmentation and undecided voters near 10-14 percent add uncertainty, though the current polling trajectory favors New Zealand First finishing ahead of the rest of the minor parties.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Volumen
$13,600Enddatum
7. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...New Zealand's November 2026 general election under MMP has seen National and Labour consistently lead party-vote polls near 30 percent each, leaving smaller parties to contest third place. Recent surveys through mid-August show New Zealand First frequently polling at 9-13 percent, ahead of or level with the Greens at 8-13 percent, while ACT, Opportunity, and Te Pāti Māori trail further back. Traders have priced New Zealand First as the clear favorite for third, reflecting its sustained momentum in multiple series and Winston Peters' established voter base. The Greens remain a credible alternative but have shown more volatility. Minor-party fragmentation and undecided voters near 10-14 percent add uncertainty, though the current polling trajectory favors New Zealand First finishing ahead of the rest of the minor parties.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
53%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
55%
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
38%
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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