The NJ-12 district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+13 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement opened the seat, but the June 2 primary produced a clear general election matchup between winner Adam Hamawy and unopposed Republican Gregg Mele in a district where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than 2-to-1. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with historical base rates for open seats in similarly partisan terrain. Late shifts could still occur from national midterm dynamics, turnout differentials, or candidate-specific developments before November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNJ-12 Wahlsieger
NJ-12 Wahlsieger
$16,918 Vol.
$16,918 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
93%
Republikanische Partei
8%
$16,918 Vol.
$16,918 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$11,847 Vol.
93%
Republikanische Partei
$5,071 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NJ-12 district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+13 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement opened the seat, but the June 2 primary produced a clear general election matchup between winner Adam Hamawy and unopposed Republican Gregg Mele in a district where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than 2-to-1. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with historical base rates for open seats in similarly partisan terrain. Late shifts could still occur from national midterm dynamics, turnout differentials, or candidate-specific developments before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$16,918Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NJ-12 district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+13 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement opened the seat, but the June 2 primary produced a clear general election matchup between winner Adam Hamawy and unopposed Republican Gregg Mele in a district where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than 2-to-1. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with historical base rates for open seats in similarly partisan terrain. Late shifts could still occur from national midterm dynamics, turnout differentials, or candidate-specific developments before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$16,918Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The NJ-12 district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+13 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement opened the seat, but the June 2 primary produced a clear general election matchup between winner Adam Hamawy and unopposed Republican Gregg Mele in a district where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than 2-to-1. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with historical base rates for open seats in similarly partisan terrain. Late shifts could still occur from national midterm dynamics, turnout differentials, or candidate-specific developments before November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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