Incumbent Rep. Grace Meng maintains a trader consensus edge at 43.5% implied probability in the NY-06 Democratic primary, bolstered by superior fundraising—over $1.2 million cash on hand versus challengers' lower totals—and endorsements from State Sen. Julia Liu, Rep. Nydia Velázquez, and labor unions in March and April. The race remains tightly contested with Yan Xiong at 34.3% and Charles Park at 26%, reflecting Park's progressive momentum from Sunrise Movement NYC's April endorsement, grassroots canvassing launch, and high-profile arrest at a May Day Wall Street protest yesterday, alongside Xiong's appeal as a Chinese refugee veteran and pastor in the Asian American-heavy Queens district. No public polls exist; separation could arise from upcoming debates, further endorsements, or Q2 fundraising reports before the June 23 closed primary.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertGrace Meng 71%
Yan Xiong 34.7%
Charles Park 15%
NEU
NEU
23. Juni 2026
Grace Meng
71%
Yan Xiong
35%
Charles Park
23%
Grace Meng 71%
Yan Xiong 34.7%
Charles Park 15%
NEU
NEU
23. Juni 2026
Grace Meng
$535 Vol.
71%
Yan Xiong
$530 Vol.
35%
Charles Park
$405 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Grace Meng maintains a trader consensus edge at 43.5% implied probability in the NY-06 Democratic primary, bolstered by superior fundraising—over $1.2 million cash on hand versus challengers' lower totals—and endorsements from State Sen. Julia Liu, Rep. Nydia Velázquez, and labor unions in March and April. The race remains tightly contested with Yan Xiong at 34.3% and Charles Park at 26%, reflecting Park's progressive momentum from Sunrise Movement NYC's April endorsement, grassroots canvassing launch, and high-profile arrest at a May Day Wall Street protest yesterday, alongside Xiong's appeal as a Chinese refugee veteran and pastor in the Asian American-heavy Queens district. No public polls exist; separation could arise from upcoming debates, further endorsements, or Q2 fundraising reports before the June 23 closed primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 19, 2025, 3:46 PM ET
Volumen
$1,470Enddatum
23. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 19, 2025, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Grace Meng maintains a trader consensus edge at 43.5% implied probability in the NY-06 Democratic primary, bolstered by superior fundraising—over $1.2 million cash on hand versus challengers' lower totals—and endorsements from State Sen. Julia Liu, Rep. Nydia Velázquez, and labor unions in March and April. The race remains tightly contested with Yan Xiong at 34.3% and Charles Park at 26%, reflecting Park's progressive momentum from Sunrise Movement NYC's April endorsement, grassroots canvassing launch, and high-profile arrest at a May Day Wall Street protest yesterday, alongside Xiong's appeal as a Chinese refugee veteran and pastor in the Asian American-heavy Queens district. No public polls exist; separation could arise from upcoming debates, further endorsements, or Q2 fundraising reports before the June 23 closed primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$1,470Enddatum
23. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 19, 2025, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Grace Meng maintains a trader consensus edge at 43.5% implied probability in the NY-06 Democratic primary, bolstered by superior fundraising—over $1.2 million cash on hand versus challengers' lower totals—and endorsements from State Sen. Julia Liu, Rep. Nydia Velázquez, and labor unions in March and April. The race remains tightly contested with Yan Xiong at 34.3% and Charles Park at 26%, reflecting Park's progressive momentum from Sunrise Movement NYC's April endorsement, grassroots canvassing launch, and high-profile arrest at a May Day Wall Street protest yesterday, alongside Xiong's appeal as a Chinese refugee veteran and pastor in the Asian American-heavy Queens district. No public polls exist; separation could arise from upcoming debates, further endorsements, or Q2 fundraising reports before the June 23 closed primary.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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