New York’s 16th congressional district exhibits a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in voter enrollment data and a Cook Political Report “Solid D” rating, which underpins trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 94.5% implied probability of winning the November 2026 general election. Incumbent George Latimer advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, preserving party unity and resources ahead of the November 3 contest against Republican Joseph Cinquemani. Historical margins exceeding 20 points and the absence of competitive primary challenges reinforce the district’s structural advantage. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented national political shift or significant local disruption capable of overcoming these fundamentals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-16 Wahlsieger
NY-16 Wahlsieger
$35,411 Vol.
$35,411 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
95%
Republikanische Partei
1%
$35,411 Vol.
$35,411 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$25,276 Vol.
95%
Republikanische Partei
$10,134 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 16th congressional district exhibits a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in voter enrollment data and a Cook Political Report “Solid D” rating, which underpins trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 94.5% implied probability of winning the November 2026 general election. Incumbent George Latimer advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, preserving party unity and resources ahead of the November 3 contest against Republican Joseph Cinquemani. Historical margins exceeding 20 points and the absence of competitive primary challenges reinforce the district’s structural advantage. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented national political shift or significant local disruption capable of overcoming these fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$35,411Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 16th congressional district exhibits a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in voter enrollment data and a Cook Political Report “Solid D” rating, which underpins trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 94.5% implied probability of winning the November 2026 general election. Incumbent George Latimer advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, preserving party unity and resources ahead of the November 3 contest against Republican Joseph Cinquemani. Historical margins exceeding 20 points and the absence of competitive primary challenges reinforce the district’s structural advantage. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented national political shift or significant local disruption capable of overcoming these fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$35,411Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 16th congressional district exhibits a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in voter enrollment data and a Cook Political Report “Solid D” rating, which underpins trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 94.5% implied probability of winning the November 2026 general election. Incumbent George Latimer advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, preserving party unity and resources ahead of the November 3 contest against Republican Joseph Cinquemani. Historical margins exceeding 20 points and the absence of competitive primary challenges reinforce the district’s structural advantage. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented national political shift or significant local disruption capable of overcoming these fundamentals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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