Uncertainty over the 2025 New York City mayoral election winner—who will hold office during March 20-27, 2026—drives the tight trader consensus across posting volume ranges, with 20-39 posts leading at 38.5% implied probability followed closely by 40-59 at 37%. Current mayor Eric Adams, embroiled in federal corruption charges yet maintaining moderate X activity (averaging 5-10 daily posts recently), faces a fragmented Democratic primary field including Zellnor Myrie, Brad Lander, and Zohran Mamdani, whose social media habits vary widely from prolific to restrained. Absent a frontrunner in early polls, markets price diverse scenarios evenly. Key catalysts like candidate dropouts, Cuomo's potential entry, or Adams' trial outcomes could concentrate odds toward specific ranges reflecting the eventual mayor's baseline engagement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertNYC Mayor # posts March 20 - March 27, 2026?
NYC Mayor # posts March 20 - March 27, 2026?
200+ 64%
40-59 37%
60-79 36%
80-99 35%
<20
20%
20-39
39%
40-59
37%
60-79
36%
80-99
35%
100-119
34%
120-139
36%
140-159
34%
160-179
34%
180-199
34%
200+
64%
200+ 64%
40-59 37%
60-79 36%
80-99 35%
<20
20%
20-39
39%
40-59
37%
60-79
36%
80-99
35%
100-119
34%
120-139
36%
140-159
34%
160-179
34%
180-199
34%
200+
64%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 17, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/NYCMayorResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/NYCMayorResolver
0x69c47De9D...Uncertainty over the 2025 New York City mayoral election winner—who will hold office during March 20-27, 2026—drives the tight trader consensus across posting volume ranges, with 20-39 posts leading at 38.5% implied probability followed closely by 40-59 at 37%. Current mayor Eric Adams, embroiled in federal corruption charges yet maintaining moderate X activity (averaging 5-10 daily posts recently), faces a fragmented Democratic primary field including Zellnor Myrie, Brad Lander, and Zohran Mamdani, whose social media habits vary widely from prolific to restrained. Absent a frontrunner in early polls, markets price diverse scenarios evenly. Key catalysts like candidate dropouts, Cuomo's potential entry, or Adams' trial outcomes could concentrate odds toward specific ranges reflecting the eventual mayor's baseline engagement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen