Tom Cole, the longtime Republican incumbent representing Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District since 2003, secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary by defeating challenger Marcie Everhart with 71 percent of the vote. The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+17 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in the November general election against Democrat Mitchell Jacob and independent Rocco Bonacci. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, citing limited Democratic infrastructure and the absence of recent developments that would shift the balance. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen national political realignment remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertOK-04 Wahlsieger
OK-04 Wahlsieger
$25,918 Vol.
$25,918 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
94%
Demokratische Partei
6%
$25,918 Vol.
$25,918 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$15,044 Vol.
94%
Demokratische Partei
$10,874 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Cole, the longtime Republican incumbent representing Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District since 2003, secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary by defeating challenger Marcie Everhart with 71 percent of the vote. The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+17 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in the November general election against Democrat Mitchell Jacob and independent Rocco Bonacci. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, citing limited Democratic infrastructure and the absence of recent developments that would shift the balance. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen national political realignment remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$25,918Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Cole, the longtime Republican incumbent representing Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District since 2003, secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary by defeating challenger Marcie Everhart with 71 percent of the vote. The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+17 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in the November general election against Democrat Mitchell Jacob and independent Rocco Bonacci. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, citing limited Democratic infrastructure and the absence of recent developments that would shift the balance. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen national political realignment remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$25,918Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Cole, the longtime Republican incumbent representing Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District since 2003, secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary by defeating challenger Marcie Everhart with 71 percent of the vote. The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+17 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in the November general election against Democrat Mitchell Jacob and independent Rocco Bonacci. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, citing limited Democratic infrastructure and the absence of recent developments that would shift the balance. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen national political realignment remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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