With over 92% of actas counted by ONPE as of April 16, Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's presidential first-round vote at around 17%, setting up a runoff on June 7 against the second-place finisher, while a razor-thin contest for that spot—Roberto Sánchez Palomino at 12% versus Rafael López Aliaga at 11.9%, separated by under 12,000 votes—defines the third-place market. Traders reflect skin-in-the-game consensus pricing López Aliaga as the likely third at 63% implied probability, anticipating remaining rural actas, over 4,000 observed ballots under JEE review, and fraud claims from his camp could solidify or reverse Sánchez's late surge from Perú profundo votes that overtook Aliaga's early urban edge amid election delays. Jorge Nieto trails far behind at under 1%.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertPeru Präsidentschaftswahl erste Runde: 3. Platz
Peru Präsidentschaftswahl erste Runde: 3. Platz
Rafael López Aliaga 63.4%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 36.3%
Jorge Nieto <1%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
$579,095 Vol.
$579,095 Vol.

Rafael López Aliaga
63%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
36%

Jorge Nieto
1%

Ricardo Belmont
<1%

Keiko Fujimori
<1%

José Luna
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

Wolfgang Grozo
<1%

Fernando Olivera
<1%

Carlos Álvarez
<1%

Alfonso López Chau
<1%

George Forsyth
<1%

Enrique Valderrama
<1%

Mesías Guevara
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

Roberto Chiabra
<1%

Carlos Espá
<1%

Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%

Mario Vizcarra
<1%

Vladimir Cerrón
<1%

José Williams
<1%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 63.4%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 36.3%
Jorge Nieto <1%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
$579,095 Vol.
$579,095 Vol.

Rafael López Aliaga
63%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
36%

Jorge Nieto
1%

Ricardo Belmont
<1%

Keiko Fujimori
<1%

José Luna
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

Wolfgang Grozo
<1%

Fernando Olivera
<1%

Carlos Álvarez
<1%

Alfonso López Chau
<1%

George Forsyth
<1%

Enrique Valderrama
<1%

Mesías Guevara
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

Roberto Chiabra
<1%

Carlos Espá
<1%

Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%

Mario Vizcarra
<1%

Vladimir Cerrón
<1%

José Williams
<1%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 92% of actas counted by ONPE as of April 16, Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's presidential first-round vote at around 17%, setting up a runoff on June 7 against the second-place finisher, while a razor-thin contest for that spot—Roberto Sánchez Palomino at 12% versus Rafael López Aliaga at 11.9%, separated by under 12,000 votes—defines the third-place market. Traders reflect skin-in-the-game consensus pricing López Aliaga as the likely third at 63% implied probability, anticipating remaining rural actas, over 4,000 observed ballots under JEE review, and fraud claims from his camp could solidify or reverse Sánchez's late surge from Perú profundo votes that overtook Aliaga's early urban edge amid election delays. Jorge Nieto trails far behind at under 1%.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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