The race for second place in Santa Catarina’s October 2026 Senate contest remains tightly balanced due to Brazil’s dual-vote system for the state’s two seats and a crowded field of 13 registered candidates. Recent polling shows PL’s Carol de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro frequently occupying the top two spots in consolidated vote scenarios, with Esperidião Amin (PP), Décio Lima (PT), and smaller-party names such as Marcos Dorval and Joaninha de Oliveira trailing in the low-to-mid 20s or below. Party conventions concluded in early August and official registration closed on August 15, locking in the lineup without major last-minute shifts. Trader consensus reflected in current prices therefore hinges on how first-preference votes split between the PL duo and opposition challengers, plus turnout patterns among conservative and center-right voters. Any late consolidation behind a single non-PL contender or a stronger-than-expected PT performance could widen gaps among the 18–27 percent tier before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertCarol de Toni 41%
Carol 27%
Jeferson da Rocha 22%
Marcos Dorval 22%
NEU
NEU
4. Okt. 2026
Carol de Toni
41%
Carol
27%
Jeferson da Rocha
22%
Marcos Dorval
22%
Joaninha de Oliveira
22%
Esperidião Amin
21%
Marlene Soccas
20%
Afrânio Boppré
19%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
19%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
19%
Carlos Bolsonaro
13%
Lunelli
13%
Décio Lima
12%
Carol de Toni 41%
Carol 27%
Jeferson da Rocha 22%
Marcos Dorval 22%
NEU
NEU
4. Okt. 2026
Carol de Toni
$21 Vol.
41%
Carol
$21 Vol.
27%
Jeferson da Rocha
$21 Vol.
22%
Marcos Dorval
$21 Vol.
22%
Joaninha de Oliveira
$21 Vol.
22%
Esperidião Amin
$21 Vol.
21%
Marlene Soccas
$21 Vol.
20%
Afrânio Boppré
$21 Vol.
19%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
$21 Vol.
19%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
$21 Vol.
19%
Carlos Bolsonaro
$42 Vol.
13%
Lunelli
$42 Vol.
13%
Décio Lima
$42 Vol.
12%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The race for second place in Santa Catarina’s October 2026 Senate contest remains tightly balanced due to Brazil’s dual-vote system for the state’s two seats and a crowded field of 13 registered candidates. Recent polling shows PL’s Carol de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro frequently occupying the top two spots in consolidated vote scenarios, with Esperidião Amin (PP), Décio Lima (PT), and smaller-party names such as Marcos Dorval and Joaninha de Oliveira trailing in the low-to-mid 20s or below. Party conventions concluded in early August and official registration closed on August 15, locking in the lineup without major last-minute shifts. Trader consensus reflected in current prices therefore hinges on how first-preference votes split between the PL duo and opposition challengers, plus turnout patterns among conservative and center-right voters. Any late consolidation behind a single non-PL contender or a stronger-than-expected PT performance could widen gaps among the 18–27 percent tier before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Volumen
$336Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The race for second place in Santa Catarina’s October 2026 Senate contest remains tightly balanced due to Brazil’s dual-vote system for the state’s two seats and a crowded field of 13 registered candidates. Recent polling shows PL’s Carol de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro frequently occupying the top two spots in consolidated vote scenarios, with Esperidião Amin (PP), Décio Lima (PT), and smaller-party names such as Marcos Dorval and Joaninha de Oliveira trailing in the low-to-mid 20s or below. Party conventions concluded in early August and official registration closed on August 15, locking in the lineup without major last-minute shifts. Trader consensus reflected in current prices therefore hinges on how first-preference votes split between the PL duo and opposition challengers, plus turnout patterns among conservative and center-right voters. Any late consolidation behind a single non-PL contender or a stronger-than-expected PT performance could widen gaps among the 18–27 percent tier before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$336Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The race for second place in Santa Catarina’s October 2026 Senate contest remains tightly balanced due to Brazil’s dual-vote system for the state’s two seats and a crowded field of 13 registered candidates. Recent polling shows PL’s Carol de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro frequently occupying the top two spots in consolidated vote scenarios, with Esperidião Amin (PP), Décio Lima (PT), and smaller-party names such as Marcos Dorval and Joaninha de Oliveira trailing in the low-to-mid 20s or below. Party conventions concluded in early August and official registration closed on August 15, locking in the lineup without major last-minute shifts. Trader consensus reflected in current prices therefore hinges on how first-preference votes split between the PL duo and opposition challengers, plus turnout patterns among conservative and center-right voters. Any late consolidation behind a single non-PL contender or a stronger-than-expected PT performance could widen gaps among the 18–27 percent tier before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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