Recent July 2026 surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and Real Time Big Data show Eduardo Gomes (PL) leading overall intent, with Alexandre Guimarães (MDB), Carlos Gaguim (União Brasil), and Eli Borges (Republicanos) clustered closely behind amid a fragmented field. Irajá Abreu (PSD) has stepped aside from re-election, opening space while new registrations—including Nilton Santos (NOVO) and others—have intensified competition for the second Senate seat on October 4. Coalition alignments, asset disclosures, and local endorsements are shaping support, yet no single challenger has pulled clear of the pack. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with the second-place outcome remaining sensitive to turnout patterns, late shifts among undecided voters, and any further withdrawals or high-profile alliances before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertEli Borges 22%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo 22%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro 21%
Alexandre Guimarães 20%

Eli Borges
22%

Vanderlei Luxemburgo
22%

Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
21%

Alexandre Guimarães
20%

Professor Osvaldo
20%

Eduardo Gomes
19%

Fábio Ribeiro
18%

Osvany Luz
18%

Apóstolo Flavio Braga
17%

Paulo Mourão
10%

Nilton Santos
26%

Ronaldo Dimas
21%

Gaguim
31%
Eli Borges 22%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo 22%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro 21%
Alexandre Guimarães 20%

Eli Borges
22%

Vanderlei Luxemburgo
22%

Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
21%

Alexandre Guimarães
20%

Professor Osvaldo
20%

Eduardo Gomes
19%

Fábio Ribeiro
18%

Osvany Luz
18%

Apóstolo Flavio Braga
17%

Paulo Mourão
10%

Nilton Santos
26%

Ronaldo Dimas
21%

Gaguim
31%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and Real Time Big Data show Eduardo Gomes (PL) leading overall intent, with Alexandre Guimarães (MDB), Carlos Gaguim (União Brasil), and Eli Borges (Republicanos) clustered closely behind amid a fragmented field. Irajá Abreu (PSD) has stepped aside from re-election, opening space while new registrations—including Nilton Santos (NOVO) and others—have intensified competition for the second Senate seat on October 4. Coalition alignments, asset disclosures, and local endorsements are shaping support, yet no single challenger has pulled clear of the pack. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with the second-place outcome remaining sensitive to turnout patterns, late shifts among undecided voters, and any further withdrawals or high-profile alliances before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen