President Trump stated on April 15 that the US-Iran war is "very close to being over," signaling potential de-escalation amid a two-week ceasefire and upcoming peace talks, following US and Israeli airstrikes and a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz initiated February 28. Senate Republicans rejected a Democratic resolution 52-47 to require congressional authorization for continued operations, bolstering Trump's flexibility. Iran rejected US proposals earlier in April but faces economic pressure from the blockade, with traders pricing high probabilities for an end-of-operations announcement by June 30 on Polymarket. Risks of resumed airstrikes loom if negotiations in Pakistan falter, amid allied calls to "finish the job."
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTrump verkündet das Ende der Militäroperationen gegen den Iran bis zum ...?
Trump verkündet das Ende der Militäroperationen gegen den Iran bis zum ...?
$26,629,227 Vol.
31. Mai 2026
15. April
<1%
21. April
20%
30. April
41%
31. Mai
71%
30. Juni
83%
$26,629,227 Vol.
15. April
$9,480,234 Vol.
<1%
21. April
$1,132,230 Vol.
20%
30. April
$5,243,043 Vol.
41%
31. Mai
$341,413 Vol.
71%
30. Juni
$1,929,358 Vol.
83%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump stated on April 15 that the US-Iran war is "very close to being over," signaling potential de-escalation amid a two-week ceasefire and upcoming peace talks, following US and Israeli airstrikes and a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz initiated February 28. Senate Republicans rejected a Democratic resolution 52-47 to require congressional authorization for continued operations, bolstering Trump's flexibility. Iran rejected US proposals earlier in April but faces economic pressure from the blockade, with traders pricing high probabilities for an end-of-operations announcement by June 30 on Polymarket. Risks of resumed airstrikes loom if negotiations in Pakistan falter, amid allied calls to "finish the job."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 6, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Volumen
$26,629,227Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 6, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump stated on April 15 that the US-Iran war is "very close to being over," signaling potential de-escalation amid a two-week ceasefire and upcoming peace talks, following US and Israeli airstrikes and a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz initiated February 28. Senate Republicans rejected a Democratic resolution 52-47 to require congressional authorization for continued operations, bolstering Trump's flexibility. Iran rejected US proposals earlier in April but faces economic pressure from the blockade, with traders pricing high probabilities for an end-of-operations announcement by June 30 on Polymarket. Risks of resumed airstrikes loom if negotiations in Pakistan falter, amid allied calls to "finish the job."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$26,629,227Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 6, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump stated on April 15 that the US-Iran war is "very close to being over," signaling potential de-escalation amid a two-week ceasefire and upcoming peace talks, following US and Israeli airstrikes and a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz initiated February 28. Senate Republicans rejected a Democratic resolution 52-47 to require congressional authorization for continued operations, bolstering Trump's flexibility. Iran rejected US proposals earlier in April but faces economic pressure from the blockade, with traders pricing high probabilities for an end-of-operations announcement by June 30 on Polymarket. Risks of resumed airstrikes loom if negotiations in Pakistan falter, amid allied calls to "finish the job."
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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