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Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?

Market icon

Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?

46% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
46% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
"This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Donald Trump initiates or refiles a lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal by April 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. Both novel lawsuits and amended complaints against the Wall Street Journal will qualify, including amended complaints that assert new or revised allegations. Appeals, motions for reconsideration, or other actions that do not assert new or amended claims will not count. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. A federal judge dismissed President Trump's $10 billion defamation lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal on April 13 over its reporting on his alleged letter to Jeffrey Epstein, granting leave to refile an amended complaint. Trump quickly stated he would pursue the case anew, aligning with his pattern of aggressive litigation against media outlets like ABC and CBS for perceived smears. Trader consensus tilts slightly to "No" at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting skepticism over the tight 12-day window to April 27 amid procedural hurdles for drafting and filing, possible settlement overtures, or shifting priorities. A prompt refiling or escalated rhetoric could surge Yes odds, while silence or delays would bolster No.

"This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Donald Trump initiates or refiles a lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal by April 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.

Both novel lawsuits and amended complaints against the Wall Street Journal will qualify, including amended complaints that assert new or revised allegations. Appeals, motions for reconsideration, or other actions that do not assert new or amended claims will not count.

An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1
Enddatum
27. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 13, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
"This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Donald Trump initiates or refiles a lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal by April 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. Both novel lawsuits and amended complaints against the Wall Street Journal will qualify, including amended complaints that assert new or revised allegations. Appeals, motions for reconsideration, or other actions that do not assert new or amended claims will not count. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
"This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Donald Trump initiates or refiles a lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal by April 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. Both novel lawsuits and amended complaints against the Wall Street Journal will qualify, including amended complaints that assert new or revised allegations. Appeals, motions for reconsideration, or other actions that do not assert new or amended claims will not count. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. A federal judge dismissed President Trump's $10 billion defamation lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal on April 13 over its reporting on his alleged letter to Jeffrey Epstein, granting leave to refile an amended complaint. Trump quickly stated he would pursue the case anew, aligning with his pattern of aggressive litigation against media outlets like ABC and CBS for perceived smears. Trader consensus tilts slightly to "No" at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting skepticism over the tight 12-day window to April 27 amid procedural hurdles for drafting and filing, possible settlement overtures, or shifting priorities. A prompt refiling or escalated rhetoric could surge Yes odds, while silence or delays would bolster No.

"This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Donald Trump initiates or refiles a lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal by April 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.

Both novel lawsuits and amended complaints against the Wall Street Journal will qualify, including amended complaints that assert new or revised allegations. Appeals, motions for reconsideration, or other actions that do not assert new or amended claims will not count.

An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1
Enddatum
27. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 13, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
"This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Donald Trump initiates or refiles a lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal by April 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. Both novel lawsuits and amended complaints against the Wall Street Journal will qualify, including amended complaints that assert new or revised allegations. Appeals, motions for reconsideration, or other actions that do not assert new or amended claims will not count. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket, auf dem Händler „Ja"- oder „Nein"-Anteile kaufen und verkaufen, je nachdem, ob sie glauben, dass dieses Ereignis eintreten wird. Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit laut Community liegt bei 46% für „Yes". Wird „Ja" beispielsweise bei 46¢ gehandelt, schätzt der Markt die Wahrscheinlichkeit des Eintretens auf 46%. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen und Informationen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Apr 13, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?" zu handeln, wählen Sie einfach, ob Sie glauben, dass die Antwort „Ja" oder „Nein" lautet. Jede Seite hat einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes widerspiegelt. Geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Wenn Sie „Ja"-Anteile kaufen und das Ergebnis als „Ja" aufgelöst wird, zahlt jeder Anteil $1 aus. Wird es als „Nein" aufgelöst, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen, um einen Gewinn zu sichern oder einen Verlust zu begrenzen.

Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?" liegt bei 46% für „Yes". Das bedeutet, die Polymarket-Community glaubt derzeit, dass eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 46% besteht, dass dieses Ereignis eintritt. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit auf Basis tatsächlicher Handelsgeschäfte aktualisiert und liefern ein ständig aktualisiertes Signal dessen, was der Markt erwartet.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.