In Texas' newly redrawn 33rd Congressional District, a Democratic stronghold centered in Dallas County, former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred's commanding 44-45% in the March 3 primary—11 points ahead of incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson—has solidified trader consensus favoring him at heavy implied probabilities ahead of the May 26 runoff. Allred's statewide name recognition from two Senate campaigns and prior House service propelled his first-round edge over Johnson's legislative record, despite her institutional backing, while minor candidates Carlos Quintanilla and Zeeshan Hafeez were eliminated. Low-turnout runoffs historically reward frontrunners, though endorsements, absentee voting trends, or late ads could narrow the gap before early voting begins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertColin Allred 76%
Julie Johnson 25%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$68,375 Vol.
$68,375 Vol.
Colin Allred
76%
Julie Johnson
25%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
Colin Allred 76%
Julie Johnson 25%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$68,375 Vol.
$68,375 Vol.
Colin Allred
76%
Julie Johnson
25%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Texas' newly redrawn 33rd Congressional District, a Democratic stronghold centered in Dallas County, former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred's commanding 44-45% in the March 3 primary—11 points ahead of incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson—has solidified trader consensus favoring him at heavy implied probabilities ahead of the May 26 runoff. Allred's statewide name recognition from two Senate campaigns and prior House service propelled his first-round edge over Johnson's legislative record, despite her institutional backing, while minor candidates Carlos Quintanilla and Zeeshan Hafeez were eliminated. Low-turnout runoffs historically reward frontrunners, though endorsements, absentee voting trends, or late ads could narrow the gap before early voting begins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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