SpaceX’s recent IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.77 trillion valuation and a record $74–75 billion raise, has anchored trader consensus around the 1.75–2.00T range at 91% implied probability. This reflects robust demand signals ahead of the Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, driven by Starlink’s subscriber growth, launch cadence, and expansion into AI-adjacent infrastructure amid a broad risk-on environment. The company’s February $1.25 trillion private mark and merger activity with xAI further supported the upward re-rating. While strong institutional participation and Musk’s voting control reinforce the current positioning, weaker-than-expected order flow or adverse macroeconomic shifts before listing could pressure final terms into adjacent bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWie wird der Börsengang von SpaceX bewertet?
1,75–2,00 Billionen 91%
1,50-1,75 Billionen 5.1%
2,00–2,25T 2.6%
2,25–2,50 Billionen 1.6%
$197,230 Vol.
$197,230 Vol.
<1,25 Billionen
1%
1,25-1,50 Billionen
<1%
1,50-1,75 Billionen
5%
1,75–2,00 Billionen
91%
2,00–2,25T
3%
2,25–2,50 Billionen
2%
2,50T+
<1%
1,75–2,00 Billionen 91%
1,50-1,75 Billionen 5.1%
2,00–2,25T 2.6%
2,25–2,50 Billionen 1.6%
$197,230 Vol.
$197,230 Vol.
<1,25 Billionen
1%
1,25-1,50 Billionen
<1%
1,50-1,75 Billionen
5%
1,75–2,00 Billionen
91%
2,00–2,25T
3%
2,25–2,50 Billionen
2%
2,50T+
<1%
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s recent IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.77 trillion valuation and a record $74–75 billion raise, has anchored trader consensus around the 1.75–2.00T range at 91% implied probability. This reflects robust demand signals ahead of the Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, driven by Starlink’s subscriber growth, launch cadence, and expansion into AI-adjacent infrastructure amid a broad risk-on environment. The company’s February $1.25 trillion private mark and merger activity with xAI further supported the upward re-rating. While strong institutional participation and Musk’s voting control reinforce the current positioning, weaker-than-expected order flow or adverse macroeconomic shifts before listing could pressure final terms into adjacent bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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