SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, highlighted by its May 2026 S-1 filing and targeted June 11 pricing ahead of a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, underpins the overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for a June resolution. The company’s confidential April submission advanced rapidly through SEC review, enabling an early-June roadshow and positioning the offering—potentially the largest ever at a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation—as the dominant near-term catalyst. Traders’ skin-in-the-game consensus reflects these concrete execution milestones and limited remaining hurdles, though realistic challenges such as final roadshow feedback, market volatility, or unforeseen regulatory holds could still delay completion beyond the month.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertIn welchem Monat wird SpaceX an die Börse gehen?
Juni 99.5%
Kein Börsengang vor 2027 <1%
Juli <1%
August <1%
$470,258 Vol.
$470,258 Vol.
Juni
100%
Juli
<1%
August
<1%
September
<1%
Oktober
<1%
November
<1%
Dezember
<1%
Kein Börsengang vor 2027
<1%
Juni 99.5%
Kein Börsengang vor 2027 <1%
Juli <1%
August <1%
$470,258 Vol.
$470,258 Vol.
Juni
100%
Juli
<1%
August
<1%
September
<1%
Oktober
<1%
November
<1%
Dezember
<1%
Kein Börsengang vor 2027
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, highlighted by its May 2026 S-1 filing and targeted June 11 pricing ahead of a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, underpins the overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for a June resolution. The company’s confidential April submission advanced rapidly through SEC review, enabling an early-June roadshow and positioning the offering—potentially the largest ever at a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation—as the dominant near-term catalyst. Traders’ skin-in-the-game consensus reflects these concrete execution milestones and limited remaining hurdles, though realistic challenges such as final roadshow feedback, market volatility, or unforeseen regulatory holds could still delay completion beyond the month.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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