Pakistan's overwhelming trader consensus at 88.5% stems from its successful hosting of the first direct US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad on April 11-13, 2026, marking the highest-level engagement since 1979 amid a fragile ceasefire following recent military escalations. Despite marathon sessions ending without agreement—over sticking points like Iran's nuclear program and Strait of Hormuz access—Pakistani officials, including a recent delegation to Tehran, are actively proposing Islamabad for a second round as early as this week. This continuity in neutral mediation elevates Pakistan far above alternatives like Turkey (2.9%), with low odds on "No Meeting by June 30" (2.3%) reflecting momentum from frantic diplomacy involving US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian counterparts. Traditional venues such as Oman or Switzerland see minimal support absent new signals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWo findet das nächste diplomatische Treffen zwischen den USA und dem Iran statt?
Wo findet das nächste diplomatische Treffen zwischen den USA und dem Iran statt?
Pakistan 89%
Türkei 2.9%
Kein Treffen bis zum 30. Juni 2.3%
Schweiz 1.2%
$806,060 Vol.
$806,060 Vol.
Pakistan
89%
Türkei
3%
Kein Treffen bis zum 30. Juni
2%
Schweiz
1%
Andere
1%
Russland
1%
Katar
1%
Andere - Europa
<1%
Oman
<1%
Österreich
<1%
Ägypten
<1%
VAE
<1%
Andere - Naher Osten/Nordafrika
<1%
Saudi-Arabien
<1%
Iran
<1%
USA
<1%
Irak
<1%
Kasachstan
<1%
Italien
<1%
Pakistan 89%
Türkei 2.9%
Kein Treffen bis zum 30. Juni 2.3%
Schweiz 1.2%
$806,060 Vol.
$806,060 Vol.
Pakistan
89%
Türkei
3%
Kein Treffen bis zum 30. Juni
2%
Schweiz
1%
Andere
1%
Russland
1%
Katar
1%
Andere - Europa
<1%
Oman
<1%
Österreich
<1%
Ägypten
<1%
VAE
<1%
Andere - Naher Osten/Nordafrika
<1%
Saudi-Arabien
<1%
Iran
<1%
USA
<1%
Irak
<1%
Kasachstan
<1%
Italien
<1%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 12, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Pakistan's overwhelming trader consensus at 88.5% stems from its successful hosting of the first direct US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad on April 11-13, 2026, marking the highest-level engagement since 1979 amid a fragile ceasefire following recent military escalations. Despite marathon sessions ending without agreement—over sticking points like Iran's nuclear program and Strait of Hormuz access—Pakistani officials, including a recent delegation to Tehran, are actively proposing Islamabad for a second round as early as this week. This continuity in neutral mediation elevates Pakistan far above alternatives like Turkey (2.9%), with low odds on "No Meeting by June 30" (2.3%) reflecting momentum from frantic diplomacy involving US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian counterparts. Traditional venues such as Oman or Switzerland see minimal support absent new signals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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