Ongoing Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in DRC's Ituri Province, declared a PHEIC in May 2026, drives trader focus with over 5,200 confirmed cases and 2,500 deaths by mid-August, fueled by conflict, poor infrastructure, and cross-border movement. Limited spillovers to Uganda (20 cases) and a single imported case in France highlight containment challenges and screening gaps, while low global risk tempers broader bets. Historical patterns of regional spread in Central Africa, absent vaccines for this strain, and ongoing humanitarian crises create uncertainty around additional countries through year-end. Traders monitor WHO updates, contact tracing data, and any new cross-border detections as key swing factors.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
$33,965 Vol.
South Sudan
66%
Rwanda
27%
Burundi
30%
United States
23%
Canada
27%
Kenya
53%
India
14%
Republic of the Congo
26%
Nigeria
50%
Ethiopia
50%
Somalia
35%
China
18%
$33,965 Vol.
South Sudan
66%
Rwanda
27%
Burundi
30%
United States
23%
Canada
27%
Kenya
53%
India
14%
Republic of the Congo
26%
Nigeria
50%
Ethiopia
50%
Somalia
35%
China
18%
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Markt eröffnet: May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in DRC's Ituri Province, declared a PHEIC in May 2026, drives trader focus with over 5,200 confirmed cases and 2,500 deaths by mid-August, fueled by conflict, poor infrastructure, and cross-border movement. Limited spillovers to Uganda (20 cases) and a single imported case in France highlight containment challenges and screening gaps, while low global risk tempers broader bets. Historical patterns of regional spread in Central Africa, absent vaccines for this strain, and ongoing humanitarian crises create uncertainty around additional countries through year-end. Traders monitor WHO updates, contact tracing data, and any new cross-border detections as key swing factors.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen