Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Mark Pocan's consistent 70 percent-plus general election margins. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. With the Democratic primary set for August 11 and no prominent Republican challengers filed, traders assign overwhelming probability to the Democratic nominee prevailing. A late scandal affecting the eventual nominee, an unexpectedly strong Republican recruitment, or an unprecedented national midterm wave could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWI-02 Wahlsieger
WI-02 Wahlsieger
$91,245 Vol.
$91,245 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
97%
Republikanische Partei
3%
$91,245 Vol.
$91,245 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$53,680 Vol.
97%
Republikanische Partei
$37,565 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Mark Pocan's consistent 70 percent-plus general election margins. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. With the Democratic primary set for August 11 and no prominent Republican challengers filed, traders assign overwhelming probability to the Democratic nominee prevailing. A late scandal affecting the eventual nominee, an unexpectedly strong Republican recruitment, or an unprecedented national midterm wave could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$91,245Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Mark Pocan's consistent 70 percent-plus general election margins. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. With the Democratic primary set for August 11 and no prominent Republican challengers filed, traders assign overwhelming probability to the Democratic nominee prevailing. A late scandal affecting the eventual nominee, an unexpectedly strong Republican recruitment, or an unprecedented national midterm wave could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$91,245Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Mark Pocan's consistent 70 percent-plus general election margins. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. With the Democratic primary set for August 11 and no prominent Republican challengers filed, traders assign overwhelming probability to the Democratic nominee prevailing. A late scandal affecting the eventual nominee, an unexpectedly strong Republican recruitment, or an unprecedented national midterm wave could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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