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icon for Límite de mercado de cierre de salida a bolsa de ADARx

Límite de mercado de cierre de salida a bolsa de ADARx

icon for Límite de mercado de cierre de salida a bolsa de ADARx

Límite de mercado de cierre de salida a bolsa de ADARx

<$1.5 mil millones 25%

$1.5 mil millones-$1.75 mil millones 24%

$3B+ 24%

No hay salida a bolsa antes de noviembre de 2026 23%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<$1.5 mil millones 25%

$1.5 mil millones-$1.75 mil millones 24%

$3B+ 24%

No hay salida a bolsa antes de noviembre de 2026 23%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<$1.5 mil millones

$0 Vol.

25%

$1.5 mil millones-$1.75 mil millones

$0 Vol.

24%

$1.75B-$2B

$0 Vol.

12%

$2 mil millones-$2.25 mil millones

$0 Vol.

12%

$2.25B-$2.5B

$0 Vol.

12%

$2.5B-$3B

$0 Vol.

12%

$3B+

$0 Vol.

24%

No hay salida a bolsa antes de noviembre de 2026

$0 Vol.

23%

This market will resolve based on ADARx's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on September 24 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before November 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading. In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.ADARx Pharmaceuticals' IPO terms, filed September 21, 2026, target a $1.69–1.74 billion valuation via 21.9 million shares priced at $15–17, implying a midpoint near $1.7 billion with AbbVie committing up to $100 million in a concurrent placement tied to its prior $335 million collaboration. This anchors sentiment around the $1.5–2 billion bins amid a wave of biotech debuts, while the company's Phase 3 onvuzosiran candidate for hereditary angioedema, cash runway into 2030, and siRNA pipeline provide fundamental support. Evenly matched probabilities across bins reflect uncertainty over post-pricing demand, broader biotech trading multiples, and potential first-day volatility ahead of the expected late-September Nasdaq listing under ADRX.

This market will resolve based on ADARx's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on September 24 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before November 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.

It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.

If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.

The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.

In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on ADARx's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on September 24 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before November 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading. In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
25 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 23, 2026, 6:43 PM ET
This market will resolve based on ADARx's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on September 24 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before November 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading. In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.ADARx Pharmaceuticals' IPO terms, filed September 21, 2026, target a $1.69–1.74 billion valuation via 21.9 million shares priced at $15–17, implying a midpoint near $1.7 billion with AbbVie committing up to $100 million in a concurrent placement tied to its prior $335 million collaboration. This anchors sentiment around the $1.5–2 billion bins amid a wave of biotech debuts, while the company's Phase 3 onvuzosiran candidate for hereditary angioedema, cash runway into 2030, and siRNA pipeline provide fundamental support. Evenly matched probabilities across bins reflect uncertainty over post-pricing demand, broader biotech trading multiples, and potential first-day volatility ahead of the expected late-September Nasdaq listing under ADRX.

This market will resolve based on ADARx's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on September 24 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before November 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.

It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.

If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.

The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.

In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on ADARx's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on September 24 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before November 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading. In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
25 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 23, 2026, 6:43 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Límite de mercado de cierre de salida a bolsa de ADARx" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<$1.5 mil millones" con 49%, seguido de "$1.5 mil millones-$1.75 mil millones" con 47%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 49¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 49% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Límite de mercado de cierre de salida a bolsa de ADARx" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 23, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Límite de mercado de cierre de salida a bolsa de ADARx", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este mercado fue creado recientemente y aún no ha recibido su primera operación. Sé el primero en establecer las probabilidades iniciales colocando una operación, o guarda esta página en marcadores para volver más adelante.

Las reglas de resolución para "Límite de mercado de cierre de salida a bolsa de ADARx" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.