Recent private funding rounds valuing Databricks at $190 billion in August 2026, following a $134 billion round earlier in the year, reflect accelerating revenue run rates above $7 billion with 80%+ year-over-year growth and positive free cash flow, driven by AI infrastructure demand. These fundamentals support market-implied odds clustered around the $150–450 billion closing market cap brackets, as traders weigh comparable AI-related multiples against a crowded 2026 IPO calendar that prompted CEO comments favoring a potential 2027 debut. The 23.5% probability assigned to no IPO by December 31, 2027, captures timing uncertainty, with any S-1 filing or shifts in Treasury yields and tech sector sentiment serving as near-term catalysts for repricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$200B-$250B 95%
$300B-$350B 95%
$350 mil millones-$400 mil millones 95%
$250B-$300B 94%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2027
<150 mil millones de dólares
-
$150B-$200B
-
$200B-$250B
95%
$250B-$300B
94%
$300B-$350B
95%
$350 mil millones-$400 mil millones
95%
$400B-$450B
-
$450 mil millones+
-
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027
24%
$200B-$250B 95%
$300B-$350B 95%
$350 mil millones-$400 mil millones 95%
$250B-$300B 94%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2027
<150 mil millones de dólares
$18 Vol.
-
$150B-$200B
$18 Vol.
-
$200B-$250B
$18 Vol.
95%
$250B-$300B
$18 Vol.
94%
$300B-$350B
$18 Vol.
95%
$350 mil millones-$400 mil millones
$18 Vol.
95%
$400B-$450B
$18 Vol.
-
$450 mil millones+
$18 Vol.
-
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027
$272 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Recent private funding rounds valuing Databricks at $190 billion in August 2026, following a $134 billion round earlier in the year, reflect accelerating revenue run rates above $7 billion with 80%+ year-over-year growth and positive free cash flow, driven by AI infrastructure demand. These fundamentals support market-implied odds clustered around the $150–450 billion closing market cap brackets, as traders weigh comparable AI-related multiples against a crowded 2026 IPO calendar that prompted CEO comments favoring a potential 2027 debut. The 23.5% probability assigned to no IPO by December 31, 2027, captures timing uncertainty, with any S-1 filing or shifts in Treasury yields and tech sector sentiment serving as near-term catalysts for repricing.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
Volumen
$416Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2028Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Recent private funding rounds valuing Databricks at $190 billion in August 2026, following a $134 billion round earlier in the year, reflect accelerating revenue run rates above $7 billion with 80%+ year-over-year growth and positive free cash flow, driven by AI infrastructure demand. These fundamentals support market-implied odds clustered around the $150–450 billion closing market cap brackets, as traders weigh comparable AI-related multiples against a crowded 2026 IPO calendar that prompted CEO comments favoring a potential 2027 debut. The 23.5% probability assigned to no IPO by December 31, 2027, captures timing uncertainty, with any S-1 filing or shifts in Treasury yields and tech sector sentiment serving as near-term catalysts for repricing.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volumen
$416Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2028Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent private funding rounds valuing Databricks at $190 billion in August 2026, following a $134 billion round earlier in the year, reflect accelerating revenue run rates above $7 billion with 80%+ year-over-year growth and positive free cash flow, driven by AI infrastructure demand. These fundamentals support market-implied odds clustered around the $150–450 billion closing market cap brackets, as traders weigh comparable AI-related multiples against a crowded 2026 IPO calendar that prompted CEO comments favoring a potential 2027 debut. The 23.5% probability assigned to no IPO by December 31, 2027, captures timing uncertainty, with any S-1 filing or shifts in Treasury yields and tech sector sentiment serving as near-term catalysts for repricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿La capitalización de mercado de Stripe estará entre $350 mil millones y $400 mil millones al cierre del mercado el día de su salida a bolsa?
45%
Sí
¿Alcanzará la valoración de Databricks (ALTA) los $200 mil millones para el 31 de diciembre?
80%
Sí
¿La capitalización de mercado de OpenAI será de $1.5 billones o más al cierre del mercado en el día de su OPI antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027?
67%
Sí
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes