In Amapá’s 2026 Senate race for two seats on October 4, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where no candidate holds a decisive edge. Incumbents Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD) face competition from federal deputy Acácio Favacho (MDB), state assembly president Alliny Serrão (União), Rayssa Furlan (Podemos), former senator João Capiberibe (PSB), and others including Professor Uzian Pinto. Mid-2026 polls show shifting leads—Rayssa Furlan ahead in some surveys, Randolfe or Lucas Barreto topping others—driven by recent candidate registrations, party alliances, and limited name recognition among newer entrants. This volatility and the absence of a clear frontrunner keep implied probabilities clustered near even, with separation likely hinging on upcoming campaign momentum, turnout patterns, and any late consolidation among centrist or opposition blocs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHelio Silva 44%
Juíza Jô 44%
Profesor Uzian Pinto 44%
Capi 44%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
Helio Silva
44%
Juíza Jô
44%
Profesor Uzian Pinto
44%
Capi
44%
Randolfe
44%
Alliny Serrão
44%
Lucas Barreto
44%
Acácio Favacho
43%
Rayssa Furlan
41%
Helio Silva 44%
Juíza Jô 44%
Profesor Uzian Pinto 44%
Capi 44%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
Helio Silva
$0 Vol.
44%
Juíza Jô
$0 Vol.
44%
Profesor Uzian Pinto
$0 Vol.
44%
Capi
$0 Vol.
44%
Randolfe
$0 Vol.
44%
Alliny Serrão
$0 Vol.
44%
Lucas Barreto
$0 Vol.
44%
Acácio Favacho
$0 Vol.
43%
Rayssa Furlan
$0 Vol.
41%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Amapá’s 2026 Senate race for two seats on October 4, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where no candidate holds a decisive edge. Incumbents Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD) face competition from federal deputy Acácio Favacho (MDB), state assembly president Alliny Serrão (União), Rayssa Furlan (Podemos), former senator João Capiberibe (PSB), and others including Professor Uzian Pinto. Mid-2026 polls show shifting leads—Rayssa Furlan ahead in some surveys, Randolfe or Lucas Barreto topping others—driven by recent candidate registrations, party alliances, and limited name recognition among newer entrants. This volatility and the absence of a clear frontrunner keep implied probabilities clustered near even, with separation likely hinging on upcoming campaign momentum, turnout patterns, and any late consolidation among centrist or opposition blocs.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Amapá’s 2026 Senate race for two seats on October 4, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where no candidate holds a decisive edge. Incumbents Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD) face competition from federal deputy Acácio Favacho (MDB), state assembly president Alliny Serrão (União), Rayssa Furlan (Podemos), former senator João Capiberibe (PSB), and others including Professor Uzian Pinto. Mid-2026 polls show shifting leads—Rayssa Furlan ahead in some surveys, Randolfe or Lucas Barreto topping others—driven by recent candidate registrations, party alliances, and limited name recognition among newer entrants. This volatility and the absence of a clear frontrunner keep implied probabilities clustered near even, with separation likely hinging on upcoming campaign momentum, turnout patterns, and any late consolidation among centrist or opposition blocs.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Amapá’s 2026 Senate race for two seats on October 4, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where no candidate holds a decisive edge. Incumbents Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD) face competition from federal deputy Acácio Favacho (MDB), state assembly president Alliny Serrão (União), Rayssa Furlan (Podemos), former senator João Capiberibe (PSB), and others including Professor Uzian Pinto. Mid-2026 polls show shifting leads—Rayssa Furlan ahead in some surveys, Randolfe or Lucas Barreto topping others—driven by recent candidate registrations, party alliances, and limited name recognition among newer entrants. This volatility and the absence of a clear frontrunner keep implied probabilities clustered near even, with separation likely hinging on upcoming campaign momentum, turnout patterns, and any late consolidation among centrist or opposition blocs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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