Apple’s official confirmation of the “Surprise and Shine” event on September 9, 2026, combined with consistent reporting from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and supply-chain sources, has driven the 93.8% market-implied odds for a foldable iPhone announcement. The device, expected to debut as the iPhone Ultra in a book-style form factor with roughly 5.5-inch outer and 7.8-inch inner displays, titanium hinge, and near crease-free OLED, aligns with iOS 27 code references for fold-state detection and dual-display support. This timing fits Apple’s shift toward premium-only fall launches under incoming CEO John Ternus, with production issues reportedly resolved. While strong consensus reflects verified event details and hardware readiness, a last-minute pivot to a later reveal or supply constraint could still occur before the keynote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
93% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 sep 2026
Sí
93% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 sep 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s official confirmation of the “Surprise and Shine” event on September 9, 2026, combined with consistent reporting from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and supply-chain sources, has driven the 93.8% market-implied odds for a foldable iPhone announcement. The device, expected to debut as the iPhone Ultra in a book-style form factor with roughly 5.5-inch outer and 7.8-inch inner displays, titanium hinge, and near crease-free OLED, aligns with iOS 27 code references for fold-state detection and dual-display support. This timing fits Apple’s shift toward premium-only fall launches under incoming CEO John Ternus, with production issues reportedly resolved. While strong consensus reflects verified event details and hardware readiness, a last-minute pivot to a later reveal or supply constraint could still occur before the keynote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ET
Volumen
$4,871Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s official confirmation of the “Surprise and Shine” event on September 9, 2026, combined with consistent reporting from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and supply-chain sources, has driven the 93.8% market-implied odds for a foldable iPhone announcement. The device, expected to debut as the iPhone Ultra in a book-style form factor with roughly 5.5-inch outer and 7.8-inch inner displays, titanium hinge, and near crease-free OLED, aligns with iOS 27 code references for fold-state detection and dual-display support. This timing fits Apple’s shift toward premium-only fall launches under incoming CEO John Ternus, with production issues reportedly resolved. While strong consensus reflects verified event details and hardware readiness, a last-minute pivot to a later reveal or supply constraint could still occur before the keynote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$4,871Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple’s official confirmation of the “Surprise and Shine” event on September 9, 2026, combined with consistent reporting from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and supply-chain sources, has driven the 93.8% market-implied odds for a foldable iPhone announcement. The device, expected to debut as the iPhone Ultra in a book-style form factor with roughly 5.5-inch outer and 7.8-inch inner displays, titanium hinge, and near crease-free OLED, aligns with iOS 27 code references for fold-state detection and dual-display support. This timing fits Apple’s shift toward premium-only fall launches under incoming CEO John Ternus, with production issues reportedly resolved. While strong consensus reflects verified event details and hardware readiness, a last-minute pivot to a later reveal or supply constraint could still occur before the keynote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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