The district’s R+23 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin the market’s strong preference for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Rick Crawford secured the GOP nomination without primary opposition in March 2026, while the Democratic candidate faces the structural challenge of competing in a solidly conservative northeast Arkansas district that includes the Arkansas Delta and Jonesboro. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, aligning with the 92.5 percent trader consensus. A national political shift, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though no such developments have emerged in the current cycle. The November 3, 2026 general election remains the resolution trigger.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAR-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
AR-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$18,772 Vol.
$18,772 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
93%
Partido Demócrata
6%
$18,772 Vol.
$18,772 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$11,175 Vol.
93%
Partido Demócrata
$7,596 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district’s R+23 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin the market’s strong preference for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Rick Crawford secured the GOP nomination without primary opposition in March 2026, while the Democratic candidate faces the structural challenge of competing in a solidly conservative northeast Arkansas district that includes the Arkansas Delta and Jonesboro. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, aligning with the 92.5 percent trader consensus. A national political shift, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though no such developments have emerged in the current cycle. The November 3, 2026 general election remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volumen
$18,772Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district’s R+23 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin the market’s strong preference for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Rick Crawford secured the GOP nomination without primary opposition in March 2026, while the Democratic candidate faces the structural challenge of competing in a solidly conservative northeast Arkansas district that includes the Arkansas Delta and Jonesboro. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, aligning with the 92.5 percent trader consensus. A national political shift, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though no such developments have emerged in the current cycle. The November 3, 2026 general election remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$18,772Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district’s R+23 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin the market’s strong preference for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Rick Crawford secured the GOP nomination without primary opposition in March 2026, while the Democratic candidate faces the structural challenge of competing in a solidly conservative northeast Arkansas district that includes the Arkansas Delta and Jonesboro. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, aligning with the 92.5 percent trader consensus. A national political shift, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though no such developments have emerged in the current cycle. The November 3, 2026 general election remains the resolution trigger.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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