Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson faces a competitive primary challenge from progressive Eric Jones in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, with fragmented Republicans likely splitting votes to allow both Democrats to advance. Thompson holds a cash-on-hand edge at $2.56 million versus Jones' $1.45 million per March 31 reports, bolstered by endorsements from the California Democratic Party, Metro PAC, and Teamsters, emphasizing his bipartisan record on veterans' issues and wildfire relief. Jones, leveraging self-funding and Our Revolution backing, outraised Thompson overall while targeting younger voters on economic opportunity. No public polls exist amid the redrawn district's narrowed Democratic lean post-2025 Proposition 50; early vote-by-mail begins soon, potentially amplifying turnout dynamics in this safe Democratic seat per Cook Political Report.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-04 Ganadores de las primarias
CA-04 Ganadores de las primarias
$22,189 Vol.
Mike Thompson
99%
Eric Jones
91%
Heath Fulkerson
11%
Trevor Merrell
11%
John Wesley Tyler
10%
Laurie MacKenzie
7%
Sharon Brown
6%
Mandy Ghusar
6%
$22,189 Vol.
Mike Thompson
99%
Eric Jones
91%
Heath Fulkerson
11%
Trevor Merrell
11%
John Wesley Tyler
10%
Laurie MacKenzie
7%
Sharon Brown
6%
Mandy Ghusar
6%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson faces a competitive primary challenge from progressive Eric Jones in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, with fragmented Republicans likely splitting votes to allow both Democrats to advance. Thompson holds a cash-on-hand edge at $2.56 million versus Jones' $1.45 million per March 31 reports, bolstered by endorsements from the California Democratic Party, Metro PAC, and Teamsters, emphasizing his bipartisan record on veterans' issues and wildfire relief. Jones, leveraging self-funding and Our Revolution backing, outraised Thompson overall while targeting younger voters on economic opportunity. No public polls exist amid the redrawn district's narrowed Democratic lean post-2025 Proposition 50; early vote-by-mail begins soon, potentially amplifying turnout dynamics in this safe Democratic seat per Cook Political Report.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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