Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) holds a strong position in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, buoyed by his long tenure since 1998, endorsement from the Democratic Party of California, and $2.6 million cash on hand as of late March fundraising reports. Challenger Eric Jones (D), a former executive endorsed by Our Revolution, leads receipts at $3.2 million, positioning him as a generational contrast appealing to younger voters amid post-redistricting shifts from Proposition 50 that narrowed the district's Democratic lean (Kamala Harris won 55.8% in 2024). A fragmented Republican field of six candidates risks vote-splitting, potentially allowing both Democrats to advance; ballots mail May 4, with no public polls yet available. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-04 Ganadores de las primarias
CA-04 Ganadores de las primarias
$22,131 Vol.
2 jun 2026
Mike Thompson
99%
Eric Jones
91%
Heath Fulkerson
11%
Trevor Merrell
11%
John Wesley Tyler
9%
Mandy Ghusar
7%
Laurie MacKenzie
6%
Sharon Brown
6%
$22,131 Vol.
Mike Thompson
$6,602 Vol.
99%
Eric Jones
$4,475 Vol.
91%
Heath Fulkerson
$315 Vol.
11%
Trevor Merrell
$6,994 Vol.
11%
John Wesley Tyler
$670 Vol.
9%
Mandy Ghusar
$744 Vol.
7%
Laurie MacKenzie
$710 Vol.
6%
Sharon Brown
$1,621 Vol.
6%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) holds a strong position in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, buoyed by his long tenure since 1998, endorsement from the Democratic Party of California, and $2.6 million cash on hand as of late March fundraising reports. Challenger Eric Jones (D), a former executive endorsed by Our Revolution, leads receipts at $3.2 million, positioning him as a generational contrast appealing to younger voters amid post-redistricting shifts from Proposition 50 that narrowed the district's Democratic lean (Kamala Harris won 55.8% in 2024). A fragmented Republican field of six candidates risks vote-splitting, potentially allowing both Democrats to advance; ballots mail May 4, with no public polls yet available. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Volumen
$22,131Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) holds a strong position in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, buoyed by his long tenure since 1998, endorsement from the Democratic Party of California, and $2.6 million cash on hand as of late March fundraising reports. Challenger Eric Jones (D), a former executive endorsed by Our Revolution, leads receipts at $3.2 million, positioning him as a generational contrast appealing to younger voters amid post-redistricting shifts from Proposition 50 that narrowed the district's Democratic lean (Kamala Harris won 55.8% in 2024). A fragmented Republican field of six candidates risks vote-splitting, potentially allowing both Democrats to advance; ballots mail May 4, with no public polls yet available. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$22,131Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) holds a strong position in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, buoyed by his long tenure since 1998, endorsement from the Democratic Party of California, and $2.6 million cash on hand as of late March fundraising reports. Challenger Eric Jones (D), a former executive endorsed by Our Revolution, leads receipts at $3.2 million, positioning him as a generational contrast appealing to younger voters amid post-redistricting shifts from Proposition 50 that narrowed the district's Democratic lean (Kamala Harris won 55.8% in 2024). A fragmented Republican field of six candidates risks vote-splitting, potentially allowing both Democrats to advance; ballots mail May 4, with no public polls yet available. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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