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icon for CA-04 Ganadores de las primarias

CA-04 Ganadores de las primarias

icon for CA-04 Ganadores de las primarias

CA-04 Ganadores de las primarias

$44,455 Vol.

2 jun 2026
Polymarket

$44,455 Vol.

Polymarket

Mike Thompson

$7,712 Vol.

100%

Eric Jones

$13,400 Vol.

82%

Sharon Brown

$4,679 Vol.

4%

John Wesley Tyler

$1,903 Vol.

1%

Laurie MacKenzie

$868 Vol.

1%

Mandy Ghusar

$3,238 Vol.

1%

Trevor Merrell

$10,866 Vol.

<1%

Heath Fulkerson

$1,790 Vol.

<1%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's June 2 jungle primary for the 4th Congressional District featured incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson seeking his 15th term after Proposition 50 redistricting added substantial new rural and suburban territory from counties including Placer, Sacramento, and Yuba. Thompson led early returns with roughly 39% of the vote, followed by Republican Ray Riehle at 22% and fellow Democrat Eric Jones at 21%, positioning Thompson and Riehle as the likely top-two advancers to the November general under the state's nonpartisan primary rules. Trader focus centers on Jones's funded challenge and the district's shifted partisan balance, with limited late developments altering the established vote trajectory ahead of final certification.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$44,455
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's June 2 jungle primary for the 4th Congressional District featured incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson seeking his 15th term after Proposition 50 redistricting added substantial new rural and suburban territory from counties including Placer, Sacramento, and Yuba. Thompson led early returns with roughly 39% of the vote, followed by Republican Ray Riehle at 22% and fellow Democrat Eric Jones at 21%, positioning Thompson and Riehle as the likely top-two advancers to the November general under the state's nonpartisan primary rules. Trader focus centers on Jones's funded challenge and the district's shifted partisan balance, with limited late developments altering the established vote trajectory ahead of final certification.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$44,455
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"CA-04 Ganadores de las primarias" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Mike Thompson" con 100%, seguido de "Eric Jones" con 82%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "CA-04 Ganadores de las primarias" ha generado $44.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 26, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "CA-04 Ganadores de las primarias", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "CA-04 Ganadores de las primarias" es "Mike Thompson" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Eric Jones" con 82%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "CA-04 Ganadores de las primarias" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.