China's National Bureau of Statistics reported 5.0% year-on-year GDP growth for Q1 2026 on April 16, beating consensus forecasts of 4.8% and accelerating from Q4 2025's 4.5%, bolstering trader confidence in the 4.0–5.0% full-year range amid ongoing fiscal stimulus pledges from December 2025 Politburo meeting to boost domestic demand. The March Two Sessions set a 4.5–5.0% official target—the lowest in decades—aligning with IMF and World Bank projections around 4.4–4.5%, while persistent property sector weakness, with investment down 11.1% in early 2026 and sales poised to drop 10–14%, caps upside risks toward 5.0–6.0%. Exports provide support, but global trade tensions loom as key uncertainties.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado4.0–5.0% 68%
5,0–6,0% 28.2%
<1,0% 1.2%
6,0-7,0% 1.2%
$261,474 Vol.
$261,474 Vol.
31 ene 2026
<1,0%
1%
1.0–2.0%
1%
2,0–3,0%
1%
3,0–4,0 %
1%
4.0–5.0%
68%
5,0–6,0%
28%
6,0-7,0%
1%
7,0–8,0 %
<1%
8,0–9,0%
1%
9,0%+
<1%
4.0–5.0% 68%
5,0–6,0% 28.2%
<1,0% 1.2%
6,0-7,0% 1.2%
$261,474 Vol.
$261,474 Vol.
31 ene 2026
<1,0%
$23,015 Vol.
1%
1.0–2.0%
$27,522 Vol.
1%
2,0–3,0%
$6,756 Vol.
1%
3,0–4,0 %
$10,581 Vol.
1%
4.0–5.0%
$45,353 Vol.
68%
5,0–6,0%
$22,325 Vol.
28%
6,0-7,0%
$19,775 Vol.
1%
7,0–8,0 %
$29,918 Vol.
<1%
8,0–9,0%
$7,080 Vol.
1%
9,0%+
$69,148 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China's National Bureau of Statistics reported 5.0% year-on-year GDP growth for Q1 2026 on April 16, beating consensus forecasts of 4.8% and accelerating from Q4 2025's 4.5%, bolstering trader confidence in the 4.0–5.0% full-year range amid ongoing fiscal stimulus pledges from December 2025 Politburo meeting to boost domestic demand. The March Two Sessions set a 4.5–5.0% official target—the lowest in decades—aligning with IMF and World Bank projections around 4.4–4.5%, while persistent property sector weakness, with investment down 11.1% in early 2026 and sales poised to drop 10–14%, caps upside risks toward 5.0–6.0%. Exports provide support, but global trade tensions loom as key uncertainties.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Volumen
$261,474Fecha de finalización
31 ene 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China's National Bureau of Statistics reported 5.0% year-on-year GDP growth for Q1 2026 on April 16, beating consensus forecasts of 4.8% and accelerating from Q4 2025's 4.5%, bolstering trader confidence in the 4.0–5.0% full-year range amid ongoing fiscal stimulus pledges from December 2025 Politburo meeting to boost domestic demand. The March Two Sessions set a 4.5–5.0% official target—the lowest in decades—aligning with IMF and World Bank projections around 4.4–4.5%, while persistent property sector weakness, with investment down 11.1% in early 2026 and sales poised to drop 10–14%, caps upside risks toward 5.0–6.0%. Exports provide support, but global trade tensions loom as key uncertainties.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$261,474Fecha de finalización
31 ene 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...China's National Bureau of Statistics reported 5.0% year-on-year GDP growth for Q1 2026 on April 16, beating consensus forecasts of 4.8% and accelerating from Q4 2025's 4.5%, bolstering trader confidence in the 4.0–5.0% full-year range amid ongoing fiscal stimulus pledges from December 2025 Politburo meeting to boost domestic demand. The March Two Sessions set a 4.5–5.0% official target—the lowest in decades—aligning with IMF and World Bank projections around 4.4–4.5%, while persistent property sector weakness, with investment down 11.1% in early 2026 and sales poised to drop 10–14%, caps upside risks toward 5.0–6.0%. Exports provide support, but global trade tensions loom as key uncertainties.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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