Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz leads trader consensus at 54% in the FL-23 Democratic primary due to his strong incumbency advantage, superior fundraising with over $1.2 million cash on hand as of late March compared to challenger Oliver Larkin's $182,000, and established name recognition in this closed primary for the lean Democratic district. Larkin's 40% implied probability reflects momentum from recent progressive endorsements, including the Progressive Change Campaign Committee on April 20 and Progressive Democrats of America on April 9, alongside national Democratic Socialists of America backing, plus media appearances highlighting policy contrasts on Israel aid, Medicare for All, and minimum wage. A March Larkin-sponsored poll showed Moskowitz at 45% versus Larkin's 11% among undecided voters, but post-bio tests indicated tighter contests; the August 18 primary looms with potential for turnout-driven shifts among key voting blocs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las primarias demócratas de FL-23
Ganador de las primarias demócratas de FL-23
$15,749 Vol.
$15,749 Vol.
18 ago 2026
Jared Moskowitz
54%
Oliver Adams Larkin
40%
$15,749 Vol.
$15,749 Vol.
18 ago 2026
Jared Moskowitz
$6,476 Vol.
54%
Oliver Adams Larkin
$9,272 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz leads trader consensus at 54% in the FL-23 Democratic primary due to his strong incumbency advantage, superior fundraising with over $1.2 million cash on hand as of late March compared to challenger Oliver Larkin's $182,000, and established name recognition in this closed primary for the lean Democratic district. Larkin's 40% implied probability reflects momentum from recent progressive endorsements, including the Progressive Change Campaign Committee on April 20 and Progressive Democrats of America on April 9, alongside national Democratic Socialists of America backing, plus media appearances highlighting policy contrasts on Israel aid, Medicare for All, and minimum wage. A March Larkin-sponsored poll showed Moskowitz at 45% versus Larkin's 11% among undecided voters, but post-bio tests indicated tighter contests; the August 18 primary looms with potential for turnout-driven shifts among key voting blocs.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET
Volumen
$15,749Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz leads trader consensus at 54% in the FL-23 Democratic primary due to his strong incumbency advantage, superior fundraising with over $1.2 million cash on hand as of late March compared to challenger Oliver Larkin's $182,000, and established name recognition in this closed primary for the lean Democratic district. Larkin's 40% implied probability reflects momentum from recent progressive endorsements, including the Progressive Change Campaign Committee on April 20 and Progressive Democrats of America on April 9, alongside national Democratic Socialists of America backing, plus media appearances highlighting policy contrasts on Israel aid, Medicare for All, and minimum wage. A March Larkin-sponsored poll showed Moskowitz at 45% versus Larkin's 11% among undecided voters, but post-bio tests indicated tighter contests; the August 18 primary looms with potential for turnout-driven shifts among key voting blocs.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$15,749Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz leads trader consensus at 54% in the FL-23 Democratic primary due to his strong incumbency advantage, superior fundraising with over $1.2 million cash on hand as of late March compared to challenger Oliver Larkin's $182,000, and established name recognition in this closed primary for the lean Democratic district. Larkin's 40% implied probability reflects momentum from recent progressive endorsements, including the Progressive Change Campaign Committee on April 20 and Progressive Democrats of America on April 9, alongside national Democratic Socialists of America backing, plus media appearances highlighting policy contrasts on Israel aid, Medicare for All, and minimum wage. A March Larkin-sponsored poll showed Moskowitz at 45% versus Larkin's 11% among undecided voters, but post-bio tests indicated tighter contests; the August 18 primary looms with potential for turnout-driven shifts among key voting blocs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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